Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, alongside a resilient May labor report showing 172,000 nonfarm payroll gains and 4.3% unemployment, has driven the closely balanced 54.5% market-implied probability of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike from the current 3.50-3.75% target range in 2026. Persistent core price pressures and a data-dependent FOMC stance have elevated tightening risks later in the year while tempering near-term easing expectations, as stronger employment conditions reduce the likelihood of cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting with updated economic projections, which could shift the policy path consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
$1,559,223 ปริมาณ
$1,559,223 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
$1,559,223 ปริมาณ
$1,559,223 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, alongside a resilient May labor report showing 172,000 nonfarm payroll gains and 4.3% unemployment, has driven the closely balanced 54.5% market-implied probability of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike from the current 3.50-3.75% target range in 2026. Persistent core price pressures and a data-dependent FOMC stance have elevated tightening risks later in the year while tempering near-term easing expectations, as stronger employment conditions reduce the likelihood of cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting with updated economic projections, which could shift the policy path consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,559,223วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, alongside a resilient May labor report showing 172,000 nonfarm payroll gains and 4.3% unemployment, has driven the closely balanced 54.5% market-implied probability of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike from the current 3.50-3.75% target range in 2026. Persistent core price pressures and a data-dependent FOMC stance have elevated tightening risks later in the year while tempering near-term easing expectations, as stronger employment conditions reduce the likelihood of cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting with updated economic projections, which could shift the policy path consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,559,243วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, alongside a resilient May labor report showing 172,000 nonfarm payroll gains and 4.3% unemployment, has driven the closely balanced 54.5% market-implied probability of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike from the current 3.50-3.75% target range in 2026. Persistent core price pressures and a data-dependent FOMC stance have elevated tightening risks later in the year while tempering near-term easing expectations, as stronger employment conditions reduce the likelihood of cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting with updated economic projections, which could shift the policy path consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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