Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid balanced risks. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—and core PCE hit 3.5% annually, yet labor markets remain stable with unemployment near 4.4% and no overheating signals. The March dot plot still projects one rate cut this year, tempering hike expectations despite recent hawkish remarks from officials on potential Middle East-driven inflation surges. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
$981,051 ปริมาณ
$981,051 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
$981,051 ปริมาณ
$981,051 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid balanced risks. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—and core PCE hit 3.5% annually, yet labor markets remain stable with unemployment near 4.4% and no overheating signals. The March dot plot still projects one rate cut this year, tempering hike expectations despite recent hawkish remarks from officials on potential Middle East-driven inflation surges. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$981,051วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid balanced risks. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—and core PCE hit 3.5% annually, yet labor markets remain stable with unemployment near 4.4% and no overheating signals. The March dot plot still projects one rate cut this year, tempering hike expectations despite recent hawkish remarks from officials on potential Middle East-driven inflation surges. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$981,051วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026, reflecting the FOMC's April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid balanced risks. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—and core PCE hit 3.5% annually, yet labor markets remain stable with unemployment near 4.4% and no overheating signals. The March dot plot still projects one rate cut this year, tempering hike expectations despite recent hawkish remarks from officials on potential Middle East-driven inflation surges. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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