Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI data, have shifted trader consensus toward the possibility of tighter policy, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability that the Federal Reserve will not hike its benchmark rate in 2026. With the federal funds rate holding steady at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, futures markets now assign roughly a one-in-three chance of a 25-basis-point increase by year-end amid resilient consumer spending and labor conditions. Incoming Fed leadership following Jerome Powell’s May 2026 term expiration adds uncertainty, while the next FOMC meetings and subsequent inflation releases remain key swing factors that could reinforce or reverse the current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
$1,300,430 ปริมาณ
$1,300,430 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
$1,300,430 ปริมาณ
$1,300,430 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI data, have shifted trader consensus toward the possibility of tighter policy, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability that the Federal Reserve will not hike its benchmark rate in 2026. With the federal funds rate holding steady at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, futures markets now assign roughly a one-in-three chance of a 25-basis-point increase by year-end amid resilient consumer spending and labor conditions. Incoming Fed leadership following Jerome Powell’s May 2026 term expiration adds uncertainty, while the next FOMC meetings and subsequent inflation releases remain key swing factors that could reinforce or reverse the current pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,300,430วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI data, have shifted trader consensus toward the possibility of tighter policy, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability that the Federal Reserve will not hike its benchmark rate in 2026. With the federal funds rate holding steady at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, futures markets now assign roughly a one-in-three chance of a 25-basis-point increase by year-end amid resilient consumer spending and labor conditions. Incoming Fed leadership following Jerome Powell’s May 2026 term expiration adds uncertainty, while the next FOMC meetings and subsequent inflation releases remain key swing factors that could reinforce or reverse the current pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,300,430วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI data, have shifted trader consensus toward the possibility of tighter policy, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability that the Federal Reserve will not hike its benchmark rate in 2026. With the federal funds rate holding steady at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, futures markets now assign roughly a one-in-three chance of a 25-basis-point increase by year-end amid resilient consumer spending and labor conditions. Incoming Fed leadership following Jerome Powell’s May 2026 term expiration adds uncertainty, while the next FOMC meetings and subsequent inflation releases remain key swing factors that could reinforce or reverse the current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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