Recent inflation metrics, including the July 2026 CPI and core PCE readings, alongside resilient nonfarm payrolls and a low unemployment rate, have anchored trader expectations around the Federal Reserve's next policy moves. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with steady GDP growth, have kept the implied probability of a rate hike elevated in the near term while tempering bets on aggressive easing. The September FOMC meeting and September employment report stand as primary catalysts, with Treasury yields and fed funds futures reflecting the current market-implied rate path versus official guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2,349,047 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
September Meeting
32%
October Meeting
41%
$2,349,047 ปริมาณ
September Meeting
$895,781 ปริมาณ
32%
October Meeting
$493,267 ปริมาณ
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation metrics, including the July 2026 CPI and core PCE readings, alongside resilient nonfarm payrolls and a low unemployment rate, have anchored trader expectations around the Federal Reserve's next policy moves. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with steady GDP growth, have kept the implied probability of a rate hike elevated in the near term while tempering bets on aggressive easing. The September FOMC meeting and September employment report stand as primary catalysts, with Treasury yields and fed funds futures reflecting the current market-implied rate path versus official guidance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,349,047วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation metrics, including the July 2026 CPI and core PCE readings, alongside resilient nonfarm payrolls and a low unemployment rate, have anchored trader expectations around the Federal Reserve's next policy moves. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with steady GDP growth, have kept the implied probability of a rate hike elevated in the near term while tempering bets on aggressive easing. The September FOMC meeting and September employment report stand as primary catalysts, with Treasury yields and fed funds futures reflecting the current market-implied rate path versus official guidance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,349,047วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation metrics, including the July 2026 CPI and core PCE readings, alongside resilient nonfarm payrolls and a low unemployment rate, have anchored trader expectations around the Federal Reserve's next policy moves. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with steady GDP growth, have kept the implied probability of a rate hike elevated in the near term while tempering bets on aggressive easing. The September FOMC meeting and September employment report stand as primary catalysts, with Treasury yields and fed funds futures reflecting the current market-implied rate path versus official guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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