Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probabilities for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, driven by the Fed's March 17-18, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid resilient labor markets and an elevated inflation outlook. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy price spike from war-related oil shocks, prompting FOMC minutes released April 8 to signal growing openness to hikes if inflation persists. Unemployment dipped to 4.3%, supporting economic strength. Key focus shifts to the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and upcoming April CPI data, with markets pricing caution over aggressive tightening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$31,354 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
April Meeting
1%
June Meeting
4%
July Meeting
12%
September Meeting
15%
October Meeting
19%
$31,354 ปริมาณ
April Meeting
$24,301 ปริมาณ
1%
June Meeting
$6,580 ปริมาณ
4%
July Meeting
$414 ปริมาณ
12%
September Meeting
$3 ปริมาณ
15%
October Meeting
$55 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probabilities for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, driven by the Fed's March 17-18, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid resilient labor markets and an elevated inflation outlook. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy price spike from war-related oil shocks, prompting FOMC minutes released April 8 to signal growing openness to hikes if inflation persists. Unemployment dipped to 4.3%, supporting economic strength. Key focus shifts to the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and upcoming April CPI data, with markets pricing caution over aggressive tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,354วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probabilities for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, driven by the Fed's March 17-18, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid resilient labor markets and an elevated inflation outlook. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy price spike from war-related oil shocks, prompting FOMC minutes released April 8 to signal growing openness to hikes if inflation persists. Unemployment dipped to 4.3%, supporting economic strength. Key focus shifts to the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and upcoming April CPI data, with markets pricing caution over aggressive tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,354วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probabilities for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, driven by the Fed's March 17-18, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid resilient labor markets and an elevated inflation outlook. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy price spike from war-related oil shocks, prompting FOMC minutes released April 8 to signal growing openness to hikes if inflation persists. Unemployment dipped to 4.3%, supporting economic strength. Key focus shifts to the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and upcoming April CPI data, with markets pricing caution over aggressive tightening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย