Market-implied odds for a Federal Reserve rate hike have risen amid persistent inflation concerns, with recent FOMC minutes revealing that a majority of officials now see potential policy firming as appropriate if price pressures remain above the 2 percent target. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have boosted energy costs, pushing March 2026 CPI higher and shifting trader focus from anticipated cuts to a steadier or modestly higher policy path. The federal funds rate currently sits at 3.50–3.75 percent, with futures markets assigning roughly 37 percent probability to at least one 25 basis point increase through year-end 2026 and around 30 percent odds of a hike by early 2027. The June FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases will provide key tests of whether these pressures prove transitory or require tighter monetary policy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$154,138 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
1%
July Meeting
6%
September Meeting
11%
October Meeting
22%
$154,138 ปริมาณ
June Meeting
$15,781 ปริมาณ
1%
July Meeting
$1,768 ปริมาณ
6%
September Meeting
$2,737 ปริมาณ
11%
October Meeting
$2,545 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Market-implied odds for a Federal Reserve rate hike have risen amid persistent inflation concerns, with recent FOMC minutes revealing that a majority of officials now see potential policy firming as appropriate if price pressures remain above the 2 percent target. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have boosted energy costs, pushing March 2026 CPI higher and shifting trader focus from anticipated cuts to a steadier or modestly higher policy path. The federal funds rate currently sits at 3.50–3.75 percent, with futures markets assigning roughly 37 percent probability to at least one 25 basis point increase through year-end 2026 and around 30 percent odds of a hike by early 2027. The June FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases will provide key tests of whether these pressures prove transitory or require tighter monetary policy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$154,138วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Market-implied odds for a Federal Reserve rate hike have risen amid persistent inflation concerns, with recent FOMC minutes revealing that a majority of officials now see potential policy firming as appropriate if price pressures remain above the 2 percent target. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have boosted energy costs, pushing March 2026 CPI higher and shifting trader focus from anticipated cuts to a steadier or modestly higher policy path. The federal funds rate currently sits at 3.50–3.75 percent, with futures markets assigning roughly 37 percent probability to at least one 25 basis point increase through year-end 2026 and around 30 percent odds of a hike by early 2027. The June FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases will provide key tests of whether these pressures prove transitory or require tighter monetary policy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$154,138วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Market-implied odds for a Federal Reserve rate hike have risen amid persistent inflation concerns, with recent FOMC minutes revealing that a majority of officials now see potential policy firming as appropriate if price pressures remain above the 2 percent target. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have boosted energy costs, pushing March 2026 CPI higher and shifting trader focus from anticipated cuts to a steadier or modestly higher policy path. The federal funds rate currently sits at 3.50–3.75 percent, with futures markets assigning roughly 37 percent probability to at least one 25 basis point increase through year-end 2026 and around 30 percent odds of a hike by early 2027. The June FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases will provide key tests of whether these pressures prove transitory or require tighter monetary policy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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