Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, reinforced by recent oil price shocks and a resilient labor market, has shifted trader focus toward potential policy firming after the FOMC held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%–3.75% in its April 2026 meeting. April FOMC minutes revealed growing discussion of rate hikes if disinflation stalls, with some participants favoring removal of easing language, while futures markets now price a modest path higher later this year. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, balancing solid GDP growth against risks of further price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and employment data that could clarify whether the current stance needs adjustment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$154,138 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
1%
July Meeting
6%
September Meeting
12%
October Meeting
25%
$154,138 ปริมาณ
June Meeting
$15,781 ปริมาณ
1%
July Meeting
$1,768 ปริมาณ
6%
September Meeting
$2,737 ปริมาณ
12%
October Meeting
$2,545 ปริมาณ
25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, reinforced by recent oil price shocks and a resilient labor market, has shifted trader focus toward potential policy firming after the FOMC held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%–3.75% in its April 2026 meeting. April FOMC minutes revealed growing discussion of rate hikes if disinflation stalls, with some participants favoring removal of easing language, while futures markets now price a modest path higher later this year. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, balancing solid GDP growth against risks of further price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and employment data that could clarify whether the current stance needs adjustment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$154,138วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, reinforced by recent oil price shocks and a resilient labor market, has shifted trader focus toward potential policy firming after the FOMC held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%–3.75% in its April 2026 meeting. April FOMC minutes revealed growing discussion of rate hikes if disinflation stalls, with some participants favoring removal of easing language, while futures markets now price a modest path higher later this year. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, balancing solid GDP growth against risks of further price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and employment data that could clarify whether the current stance needs adjustment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$154,138วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, reinforced by recent oil price shocks and a resilient labor market, has shifted trader focus toward potential policy firming after the FOMC held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%–3.75% in its April 2026 meeting. April FOMC minutes revealed growing discussion of rate hikes if disinflation stalls, with some participants favoring removal of easing language, while futures markets now price a modest path higher later this year. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, balancing solid GDP growth against risks of further price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and employment data that could clarify whether the current stance needs adjustment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย