Elevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year driven by a sharp rise in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market, have anchored trader expectations for no federal funds rate changes at the March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings. The current 3.50%-3.75% target range has held steady through the April decision, with market-implied odds reflecting a broad consensus that policymakers will prioritize inflation risks over easing. Recent FOMC minutes and dot plot projections reinforce this cautious stance, showing limited appetite for cuts this year. The June 17-18 meeting, alongside the upcoming May CPI release on June 10, represents the primary near-term catalyst that could sustain or modestly shift these probabilities if incoming data alters the inflation or growth outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการตัดสินใจของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐ (มี .ค .- มิ .ย.)
การตัดสินใจของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐ (มี .ค .- มิ .ย.)
พัก–พัก–พัก 97.4%
หยุด–หยุด–ลด 2.1%
อื่นๆ <1%
$1,259,365 ปริมาณ
$1,259,365 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
พัก–พัก–พัก
97%
หยุด–หยุด–ลด
2%
อื่นๆ
1%
พัก–พัก–พัก 97.4%
หยุด–หยุด–ลด 2.1%
อื่นๆ <1%
$1,259,365 ปริมาณ
$1,259,365 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
พัก–พัก–พัก
$134,898 ปริมาณ
97%
หยุด–หยุด–ลด
$92,381 ปริมาณ
2%
อื่นๆ
$286,744 ปริมาณ
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year driven by a sharp rise in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market, have anchored trader expectations for no federal funds rate changes at the March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings. The current 3.50%-3.75% target range has held steady through the April decision, with market-implied odds reflecting a broad consensus that policymakers will prioritize inflation risks over easing. Recent FOMC minutes and dot plot projections reinforce this cautious stance, showing limited appetite for cuts this year. The June 17-18 meeting, alongside the upcoming May CPI release on June 10, represents the primary near-term catalyst that could sustain or modestly shift these probabilities if incoming data alters the inflation or growth outlook.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,259,365วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year driven by a sharp rise in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market, have anchored trader expectations for no federal funds rate changes at the March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings. The current 3.50%-3.75% target range has held steady through the April decision, with market-implied odds reflecting a broad consensus that policymakers will prioritize inflation risks over easing. Recent FOMC minutes and dot plot projections reinforce this cautious stance, showing limited appetite for cuts this year. The June 17-18 meeting, alongside the upcoming May CPI release on June 10, represents the primary near-term catalyst that could sustain or modestly shift these probabilities if incoming data alters the inflation or growth outlook.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,259,365วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year driven by a sharp rise in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market, have anchored trader expectations for no federal funds rate changes at the March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings. The current 3.50%-3.75% target range has held steady through the April decision, with market-implied odds reflecting a broad consensus that policymakers will prioritize inflation risks over easing. Recent FOMC minutes and dot plot projections reinforce this cautious stance, showing limited appetite for cuts this year. The June 17-18 meeting, alongside the upcoming May CPI release on June 10, represents the primary near-term catalyst that could sustain or modestly shift these probabilities if incoming data alters the inflation or growth outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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