Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy remains resilient, with the unemployment rate steady near 4.3% and private payroll gains supporting full-employment conditions through early 2026. Elevated inflation—headline CPI near 3.3–3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments—has kept the FOMC on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range across consecutive meetings, with market pricing reflecting zero cuts for the balance of 2026. Recent communications emphasize data dependence and balanced risks rather than acute downside threats that would justify an unscheduled inter-meeting move. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming employment reports, CPI releases, and FOMC decisions that could reinforce or alter the current policy pause.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$105,255 ปริมาณ
$105,255 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$105,255 ปริมาณ
$105,255 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy remains resilient, with the unemployment rate steady near 4.3% and private payroll gains supporting full-employment conditions through early 2026. Elevated inflation—headline CPI near 3.3–3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments—has kept the FOMC on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range across consecutive meetings, with market pricing reflecting zero cuts for the balance of 2026. Recent communications emphasize data dependence and balanced risks rather than acute downside threats that would justify an unscheduled inter-meeting move. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming employment reports, CPI releases, and FOMC decisions that could reinforce or alter the current policy pause.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,255วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy remains resilient, with the unemployment rate steady near 4.3% and private payroll gains supporting full-employment conditions through early 2026. Elevated inflation—headline CPI near 3.3–3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments—has kept the FOMC on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range across consecutive meetings, with market pricing reflecting zero cuts for the balance of 2026. Recent communications emphasize data dependence and balanced risks rather than acute downside threats that would justify an unscheduled inter-meeting move. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming employment reports, CPI releases, and FOMC decisions that could reinforce or alter the current policy pause.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,255วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 because the U.S. economy remains resilient, with the unemployment rate steady near 4.3% and private payroll gains supporting full-employment conditions through early 2026. Elevated inflation—headline CPI near 3.3–3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments—has kept the FOMC on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range across consecutive meetings, with market pricing reflecting zero cuts for the balance of 2026. Recent communications emphasize data dependence and balanced risks rather than acute downside threats that would justify an unscheduled inter-meeting move. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming employment reports, CPI releases, and FOMC decisions that could reinforce or alter the current policy pause.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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