SpaceX shares (SPCX) closed at $162.57 on October 9 amid a post-IPO rebound fueled by spectrum acquisitions enabling direct-to-cell coverage and Starship orbital milestones that bolstered Starlink revenue prospects. With the stock up sharply from August lows but still well below June peaks near $225, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over lock-up expirations, Q3 results due in early November, and variable analyst targets ranging from $75 to $800. These factors, alongside broader tech volatility and execution risks on high capital spending, have produced closely matched probabilities across $140–$185 ranges, underscoring contested views on near-term price resolution.