Incumbent Karen Bass secured the most votes in the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor, while progressive City Councilmember Nithya Raman overtook Republican challenger Spencer Pratt in the slow mail-ballot count that continued through the following week. Late-arriving Democratic ballots shifted the second-place position, prompting media projections that Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Trader consensus at 100% for this pairing reflects the near-certainty of these results under California's top-two system, where no candidate achieved a majority. An outright primary winner remains improbable at under 1%, as the race stayed fragmented among more than a dozen candidates. Late-breaking legal or counting disputes represent the main remaining variables that could still affect final certification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?
LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?
Bass & Raman 100.0%
Bass & Pratt <1%
Raman & Pratt <1%
Other <1%
$2,199,488 ปริมาณ
$2,199,488 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Bass & Raman
Yes
Bass & Pratt
No
Raman & Pratt
No
Other
No
1st Round Outright Winner
No
Bass & Raman 100.0%
Bass & Pratt <1%
Raman & Pratt <1%
Other <1%
$2,199,488 ปริมาณ
$2,199,488 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Bass & Raman
$522,195 ปริมาณ
Yes
Bass & Pratt
$1,632,724 ปริมาณ
No
Raman & Pratt
$18,564 ปริมาณ
No
Other
$2,075 ปริมาณ
No
1st Round Outright Winner
$23,929 ปริมาณ
No
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass secured the most votes in the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor, while progressive City Councilmember Nithya Raman overtook Republican challenger Spencer Pratt in the slow mail-ballot count that continued through the following week. Late-arriving Democratic ballots shifted the second-place position, prompting media projections that Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Trader consensus at 100% for this pairing reflects the near-certainty of these results under California's top-two system, where no candidate achieved a majority. An outright primary winner remains improbable at under 1%, as the race stayed fragmented among more than a dozen candidates. Late-breaking legal or counting disputes represent the main remaining variables that could still affect final certification.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,199,488วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass secured the most votes in the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor, while progressive City Councilmember Nithya Raman overtook Republican challenger Spencer Pratt in the slow mail-ballot count that continued through the following week. Late-arriving Democratic ballots shifted the second-place position, prompting media projections that Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Trader consensus at 100% for this pairing reflects the near-certainty of these results under California's top-two system, where no candidate achieved a majority. An outright primary winner remains improbable at under 1%, as the race stayed fragmented among more than a dozen candidates. Late-breaking legal or counting disputes represent the main remaining variables that could still affect final certification.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,199,488วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Incumbent Karen Bass secured the most votes in the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor, while progressive City Councilmember Nithya Raman overtook Republican challenger Spencer Pratt in the slow mail-ballot count that continued through the following week. Late-arriving Democratic ballots shifted the second-place position, prompting media projections that Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Trader consensus at 100% for this pairing reflects the near-certainty of these results under California's top-two system, where no candidate achieved a majority. An outright primary winner remains improbable at under 1%, as the race stayed fragmented among more than a dozen candidates. Late-breaking legal or counting disputes represent the main remaining variables that could still affect final certification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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