Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding position in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and nearly 2-to-1 Democratic registration advantage. As incumbent, she succeeded her father Raúl Grijalva after winning the 2025 special election by roughly 40 points against the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez Sr. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their July 2026 primaries, and Grijalva maintains high name recognition in a district spanning the U.S.-Mexico border and Tucson area. Butierez, a repeat challenger and small business owner, has not narrowed the gap despite an August 2026 debate on immigration enforcement, healthcare, and water issues. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$33,164 Vol.
$33,164 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Adelita Grijalva (D)
95%
Daniel Butierez (R)
6%
$33,164 Vol.
$33,164 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Adelita Grijalva (D)
$5,800 Vol.
95%
Daniel Butierez (R)
$27,364 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding position in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and nearly 2-to-1 Democratic registration advantage. As incumbent, she succeeded her father Raúl Grijalva after winning the 2025 special election by roughly 40 points against the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez Sr. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their July 2026 primaries, and Grijalva maintains high name recognition in a district spanning the U.S.-Mexico border and Tucson area. Butierez, a repeat challenger and small business owner, has not narrowed the gap despite an August 2026 debate on immigration enforcement, healthcare, and water issues. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$33,164End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding position in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and nearly 2-to-1 Democratic registration advantage. As incumbent, she succeeded her father Raúl Grijalva after winning the 2025 special election by roughly 40 points against the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez Sr. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their July 2026 primaries, and Grijalva maintains high name recognition in a district spanning the U.S.-Mexico border and Tucson area. Butierez, a repeat challenger and small business owner, has not narrowed the gap despite an August 2026 debate on immigration enforcement, healthcare, and water issues. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,164End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding position in the Arizona 7th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and nearly 2-to-1 Democratic registration advantage. As incumbent, she succeeded her father Raúl Grijalva after winning the 2025 special election by roughly 40 points against the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez Sr. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their July 2026 primaries, and Grijalva maintains high name recognition in a district spanning the U.S.-Mexico border and Tucson area. Butierez, a repeat challenger and small business owner, has not narrowed the gap despite an August 2026 debate on immigration enforcement, healthcare, and water issues. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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