Riley Moore’s commanding position in the WV-02 House race reflects the district’s longstanding Republican tilt, his 2024 victory by more than 40 points, and unanimous “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Moore ran unopposed in the May primary while Ace Parsi narrowly won a three-way Democratic contest, leaving the challenger with limited name recognition and fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing toward Democrats could still shift the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWV-02 House Election Winner
WV-02 House Election Winner
$100,014 Vol.
$100,014 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Riley Moore (R)
97%
Ace Parsi (D)
3%
$100,014 Vol.
$100,014 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Riley Moore (R)
$71,268 Vol.
97%
Ace Parsi (D)
$28,747 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Riley Moore’s commanding position in the WV-02 House race reflects the district’s longstanding Republican tilt, his 2024 victory by more than 40 points, and unanimous “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Moore ran unopposed in the May primary while Ace Parsi narrowly won a three-way Democratic contest, leaving the challenger with limited name recognition and fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing toward Democrats could still shift the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$100,014End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Riley Moore’s commanding position in the WV-02 House race reflects the district’s longstanding Republican tilt, his 2024 victory by more than 40 points, and unanimous “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Moore ran unopposed in the May primary while Ace Parsi narrowly won a three-way Democratic contest, leaving the challenger with limited name recognition and fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing toward Democrats could still shift the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$100,014End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Riley Moore’s commanding position in the WV-02 House race reflects the district’s longstanding Republican tilt, his 2024 victory by more than 40 points, and unanimous “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Moore ran unopposed in the May primary while Ace Parsi narrowly won a three-way Democratic contest, leaving the challenger with limited name recognition and fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing toward Democrats could still shift the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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