Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the West Virginia 2nd congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in his 70.8% victory margin in 2024 and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As incumbent, he secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the May primary, while Democratic nominee Ace Parsi advanced narrowly from a three-candidate field. The district's voting history, fundraising disparities, and limited recent polling shifts reinforce trader consensus around an expected Republican hold on November 3. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such outcomes improbable based on current evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWV-02 House Election Winner
WV-02 House Election Winner
$100,014 Vol.
$100,014 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Riley Moore (R)
97%
Ace Parsi (D)
3%
$100,014 Vol.
$100,014 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Riley Moore (R)
$71,268 Vol.
97%
Ace Parsi (D)
$28,747 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the West Virginia 2nd congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in his 70.8% victory margin in 2024 and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As incumbent, he secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the May primary, while Democratic nominee Ace Parsi advanced narrowly from a three-candidate field. The district's voting history, fundraising disparities, and limited recent polling shifts reinforce trader consensus around an expected Republican hold on November 3. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such outcomes improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$100,014End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the West Virginia 2nd congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in his 70.8% victory margin in 2024 and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As incumbent, he secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the May primary, while Democratic nominee Ace Parsi advanced narrowly from a three-candidate field. The district's voting history, fundraising disparities, and limited recent polling shifts reinforce trader consensus around an expected Republican hold on November 3. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such outcomes improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$100,014End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the West Virginia 2nd congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in his 70.8% victory margin in 2024 and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As incumbent, he secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the May primary, while Democratic nominee Ace Parsi advanced narrowly from a three-candidate field. The district's voting history, fundraising disparities, and limited recent polling shifts reinforce trader consensus around an expected Republican hold on November 3. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such outcomes improbable based on current evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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