Incumbent Joe Wilson holds a commanding lead in the SC-02 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid Republican by forecasters. Wilson secured his party's nomination easily in the June primary while advancing to his fourteenth term bid, benefiting from long-standing name recognition and institutional support in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who prevailed in his June runoff, faces structural barriers including limited resources and the seat's voting history. Traders assign Wilson a high implied probability consistent with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with late developments such as unexpected turnout surges, national political waves, or candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$45,986 Vol.
$45,986 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
7%
$45,986 Vol.
$45,986 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
$20,746 Vol.
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
$25,241 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joe Wilson holds a commanding lead in the SC-02 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid Republican by forecasters. Wilson secured his party's nomination easily in the June primary while advancing to his fourteenth term bid, benefiting from long-standing name recognition and institutional support in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who prevailed in his June runoff, faces structural barriers including limited resources and the seat's voting history. Traders assign Wilson a high implied probability consistent with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with late developments such as unexpected turnout surges, national political waves, or candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$45,986End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joe Wilson holds a commanding lead in the SC-02 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid Republican by forecasters. Wilson secured his party's nomination easily in the June primary while advancing to his fourteenth term bid, benefiting from long-standing name recognition and institutional support in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who prevailed in his June runoff, faces structural barriers including limited resources and the seat's voting history. Traders assign Wilson a high implied probability consistent with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with late developments such as unexpected turnout surges, national political waves, or candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,986End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Joe Wilson holds a commanding lead in the SC-02 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid Republican by forecasters. Wilson secured his party's nomination easily in the June primary while advancing to his fourteenth term bid, benefiting from long-standing name recognition and institutional support in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who prevailed in his June runoff, faces structural barriers including limited resources and the seat's voting history. Traders assign Wilson a high implied probability consistent with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with late developments such as unexpected turnout surges, national political waves, or candidate-specific events before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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