Joe Wilson, the longtime Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74% in the June primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and two decades of incumbency in a district that spans central South Carolina from Columbia to the Augusta area. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who won his runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds including limited campaign resources and the district’s Republican tilt. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or national Democratic surge could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, current conditions point to limited competitive pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$45,986 Vol.
$45,986 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
8%
$45,986 Vol.
$45,986 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
$20,746 Vol.
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
$25,241 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson, the longtime Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74% in the June primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and two decades of incumbency in a district that spans central South Carolina from Columbia to the Augusta area. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who won his runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds including limited campaign resources and the district’s Republican tilt. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or national Democratic surge could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, current conditions point to limited competitive pressure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$45,986End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson, the longtime Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74% in the June primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and two decades of incumbency in a district that spans central South Carolina from Columbia to the Augusta area. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who won his runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds including limited campaign resources and the district’s Republican tilt. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or national Democratic surge could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, current conditions point to limited competitive pressure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,986End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Joe Wilson, the longtime Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74% in the June primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and two decades of incumbency in a district that spans central South Carolina from Columbia to the Augusta area. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who won his runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds including limited campaign resources and the district’s Republican tilt. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or national Democratic surge could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, current conditions point to limited competitive pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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