Joe Wilson’s commanding position in the SC-02 House race reflects the district’s established Republican lean, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The longtime incumbent easily secured his party’s nomination in the June primary and enters the November general with substantial name recognition, fundraising advantages, and a record focused on defense and veterans’ issues. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, a young Air Force veteran who won his June runoff, faces structural barriers in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 91% for Wilson aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence final results before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$45,986 Vol.
$45,986 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
7%
$45,986 Vol.
$45,986 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
$20,746 Vol.
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
$25,241 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson’s commanding position in the SC-02 House race reflects the district’s established Republican lean, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The longtime incumbent easily secured his party’s nomination in the June primary and enters the November general with substantial name recognition, fundraising advantages, and a record focused on defense and veterans’ issues. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, a young Air Force veteran who won his June runoff, faces structural barriers in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 91% for Wilson aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence final results before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$45,986End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson’s commanding position in the SC-02 House race reflects the district’s established Republican lean, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The longtime incumbent easily secured his party’s nomination in the June primary and enters the November general with substantial name recognition, fundraising advantages, and a record focused on defense and veterans’ issues. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, a young Air Force veteran who won his June runoff, faces structural barriers in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 91% for Wilson aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence final results before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,986End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Joe Wilson’s commanding position in the SC-02 House race reflects the district’s established Republican lean, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The longtime incumbent easily secured his party’s nomination in the June primary and enters the November general with substantial name recognition, fundraising advantages, and a record focused on defense and veterans’ issues. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, a young Air Force veteran who won his June runoff, faces structural barriers in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 91% for Wilson aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence final results before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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