Incumbent Joe Wilson’s long tenure representing South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district since 2001, combined with the area’s consistent Republican lean and his comfortable primary victory, has anchored trader consensus on his reelection. The June 23 Democratic runoff produced nominee Zyon Khalifa, a former Air Force member, but the race carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters and shows no recent polling shifts or major developments that have altered positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still influence outcomes include late national political swings, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals, though the current margin reflects limited competitive pressure in the district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$45,986 Vol.
$45,986 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
7%
$45,986 Vol.
$45,986 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
$20,746 Vol.
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
$25,241 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joe Wilson’s long tenure representing South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district since 2001, combined with the area’s consistent Republican lean and his comfortable primary victory, has anchored trader consensus on his reelection. The June 23 Democratic runoff produced nominee Zyon Khalifa, a former Air Force member, but the race carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters and shows no recent polling shifts or major developments that have altered positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still influence outcomes include late national political swings, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals, though the current margin reflects limited competitive pressure in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$45,986End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joe Wilson’s long tenure representing South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district since 2001, combined with the area’s consistent Republican lean and his comfortable primary victory, has anchored trader consensus on his reelection. The June 23 Democratic runoff produced nominee Zyon Khalifa, a former Air Force member, but the race carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters and shows no recent polling shifts or major developments that have altered positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still influence outcomes include late national political swings, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals, though the current margin reflects limited competitive pressure in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,986End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Joe Wilson’s long tenure representing South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district since 2001, combined with the area’s consistent Republican lean and his comfortable primary victory, has anchored trader consensus on his reelection. The June 23 Democratic runoff produced nominee Zyon Khalifa, a former Air Force member, but the race carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters and shows no recent polling shifts or major developments that have altered positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still influence outcomes include late national political swings, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals, though the current margin reflects limited competitive pressure in the district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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