Trader consensus prices a Republican Party victory in South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House race at 79.5%, reflecting the district's solid Republican rating (R+7 PVI), Trump's 14-point 2024 margin, and incumbent Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising ($669,000 raised, $294,000 cash on hand) versus a fragmented, underfunded Democratic field. Democratic Party odds sit at 18.5%, underscoring weak challengers like Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II. Candidate-specific markets show tight races around A (49.5%), B (50%), and Other (50.5%), signaling pre-primary volatility ahead of June 9 GOP and Democratic primaries featuring Wilson against Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond. Recent state legislative advances on mid-cycle redistricting and primary delays to August have introduced procedural uncertainty without shifting the GOP baseline advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$27,935 Vol.
$27,935 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
19%
$27,935 Vol.
$27,935 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,125 Vol.
80%
Democratic Party
$17,810 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican Party victory in South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House race at 79.5%, reflecting the district's solid Republican rating (R+7 PVI), Trump's 14-point 2024 margin, and incumbent Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising ($669,000 raised, $294,000 cash on hand) versus a fragmented, underfunded Democratic field. Democratic Party odds sit at 18.5%, underscoring weak challengers like Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II. Candidate-specific markets show tight races around A (49.5%), B (50%), and Other (50.5%), signaling pre-primary volatility ahead of June 9 GOP and Democratic primaries featuring Wilson against Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond. Recent state legislative advances on mid-cycle redistricting and primary delays to August have introduced procedural uncertainty without shifting the GOP baseline advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,935End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican Party victory in South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House race at 79.5%, reflecting the district's solid Republican rating (R+7 PVI), Trump's 14-point 2024 margin, and incumbent Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising ($669,000 raised, $294,000 cash on hand) versus a fragmented, underfunded Democratic field. Democratic Party odds sit at 18.5%, underscoring weak challengers like Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II. Candidate-specific markets show tight races around A (49.5%), B (50%), and Other (50.5%), signaling pre-primary volatility ahead of June 9 GOP and Democratic primaries featuring Wilson against Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond. Recent state legislative advances on mid-cycle redistricting and primary delays to August have introduced procedural uncertainty without shifting the GOP baseline advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,935End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican Party victory in South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House race at 79.5%, reflecting the district's solid Republican rating (R+7 PVI), Trump's 14-point 2024 margin, and incumbent Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising ($669,000 raised, $294,000 cash on hand) versus a fragmented, underfunded Democratic field. Democratic Party odds sit at 18.5%, underscoring weak challengers like Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II. Candidate-specific markets show tight races around A (49.5%), B (50%), and Other (50.5%), signaling pre-primary volatility ahead of June 9 GOP and Democratic primaries featuring Wilson against Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond. Recent state legislative advances on mid-cycle redistricting and primary delays to August have introduced procedural uncertainty without shifting the GOP baseline advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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