Incumbent Jim Clyburn holds a commanding position in the South Carolina 6th District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 59.5 percent win in 2024 and strong performance in prior cycles. Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with over 90 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee John Peterson advanced after winning his primary with 74 percent. A Republican-led effort to redraw the congressional map collapsed earlier in the year, preserving the district's boundaries that encompass heavily Democratic areas in the Black Belt and urban centers like Columbia and North Charleston. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on Clyburn's frontrunner status. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-06 House Election Winner
SC-06 House Election Winner
$43,330 Vol.
$43,330 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Jim Clyburn (D)
96%
John Peterson (R)
2%
$43,330 Vol.
$43,330 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Jim Clyburn (D)
$19,035 Vol.
96%
John Peterson (R)
$24,295 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Clyburn holds a commanding position in the South Carolina 6th District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 59.5 percent win in 2024 and strong performance in prior cycles. Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with over 90 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee John Peterson advanced after winning his primary with 74 percent. A Republican-led effort to redraw the congressional map collapsed earlier in the year, preserving the district's boundaries that encompass heavily Democratic areas in the Black Belt and urban centers like Columbia and North Charleston. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on Clyburn's frontrunner status. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$43,330End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Clyburn holds a commanding position in the South Carolina 6th District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 59.5 percent win in 2024 and strong performance in prior cycles. Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with over 90 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee John Peterson advanced after winning his primary with 74 percent. A Republican-led effort to redraw the congressional map collapsed earlier in the year, preserving the district's boundaries that encompass heavily Democratic areas in the Black Belt and urban centers like Columbia and North Charleston. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on Clyburn's frontrunner status. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,330End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Clyburn holds a commanding position in the South Carolina 6th District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 59.5 percent win in 2024 and strong performance in prior cycles. Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with over 90 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee John Peterson advanced after winning his primary with 74 percent. A Republican-led effort to redraw the congressional map collapsed earlier in the year, preserving the district's boundaries that encompass heavily Democratic areas in the Black Belt and urban centers like Columbia and North Charleston. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on Clyburn's frontrunner status. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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