Incumbent Jim Clyburn’s long tenure representing South Carolina’s 6th Congressional District, combined with its Democratic lean and majority-minority composition, anchors trader expectations for his reelection on November 3. Clyburn secured over 90 percent in the June Democratic primary, while Republican nominee John Peterson advanced with 74 percent of the GOP vote but remains a low-profile challenger with limited statewide visibility. Failed mid-decade redistricting attempts left the district’s boundaries intact, preserving its structural advantage for Democrats. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, and Clyburn’s fundraising edge further reinforces the current pricing. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could still shift outcomes before Election Day, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-06 House Election Winner
SC-06 House Election Winner
$42,844 Vol.
$42,844 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Jim Clyburn (D)
96%
John Peterson (R)
4%
$42,844 Vol.
$42,844 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Jim Clyburn (D)
$19,035 Vol.
96%
John Peterson (R)
$23,809 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Clyburn’s long tenure representing South Carolina’s 6th Congressional District, combined with its Democratic lean and majority-minority composition, anchors trader expectations for his reelection on November 3. Clyburn secured over 90 percent in the June Democratic primary, while Republican nominee John Peterson advanced with 74 percent of the GOP vote but remains a low-profile challenger with limited statewide visibility. Failed mid-decade redistricting attempts left the district’s boundaries intact, preserving its structural advantage for Democrats. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, and Clyburn’s fundraising edge further reinforces the current pricing. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could still shift outcomes before Election Day, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$42,844End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Clyburn’s long tenure representing South Carolina’s 6th Congressional District, combined with its Democratic lean and majority-minority composition, anchors trader expectations for his reelection on November 3. Clyburn secured over 90 percent in the June Democratic primary, while Republican nominee John Peterson advanced with 74 percent of the GOP vote but remains a low-profile challenger with limited statewide visibility. Failed mid-decade redistricting attempts left the district’s boundaries intact, preserving its structural advantage for Democrats. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, and Clyburn’s fundraising edge further reinforces the current pricing. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could still shift outcomes before Election Day, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,844End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Clyburn’s long tenure representing South Carolina’s 6th Congressional District, combined with its Democratic lean and majority-minority composition, anchors trader expectations for his reelection on November 3. Clyburn secured over 90 percent in the June Democratic primary, while Republican nominee John Peterson advanced with 74 percent of the GOP vote but remains a low-profile challenger with limited statewide visibility. Failed mid-decade redistricting attempts left the district’s boundaries intact, preserving its structural advantage for Democrats. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, and Clyburn’s fundraising edge further reinforces the current pricing. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave could still shift outcomes before Election Day, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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