South Carolina's 6th Congressional District House race remains tightly contested on prediction markets, with Republicans at 42.5% and Democrats at 40.5%, reflecting uncertainty over a GOP-led redistricting push. A House subcommittee advanced a bill on May 8 to delay congressional primaries from June 9 to August 11, enabling a proposed map (H.5683) that redraws SC-06 into a Republican-leaning district by shifting it toward the rural Pee Dee region, splitting Richland and York Counties, and drawing out Democratic incumbent Jim Clyburn. Prompted by a recent Supreme Court ruling against racial gerrymandering, the plan aims for an all-Republican delegation but faces Senate skepticism over risks to other seats, potential lawsuits, and logistical hurdles like reprinted ballots. Passage and court validation could boost Republicans; rejection would favor Clyburn's renomination and historical dominance in the D+13 Cook PVI district. Full House Judiciary review and post-May 14 special session loom as pivotal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-06 House Election Winner
SC-06 House Election Winner
$10,887 Vol.
$10,887 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
44%
Democratic Party
41%
$10,887 Vol.
$10,887 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,365 Vol.
44%
Democratic Party
$4,522 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 6th Congressional District House race remains tightly contested on prediction markets, with Republicans at 42.5% and Democrats at 40.5%, reflecting uncertainty over a GOP-led redistricting push. A House subcommittee advanced a bill on May 8 to delay congressional primaries from June 9 to August 11, enabling a proposed map (H.5683) that redraws SC-06 into a Republican-leaning district by shifting it toward the rural Pee Dee region, splitting Richland and York Counties, and drawing out Democratic incumbent Jim Clyburn. Prompted by a recent Supreme Court ruling against racial gerrymandering, the plan aims for an all-Republican delegation but faces Senate skepticism over risks to other seats, potential lawsuits, and logistical hurdles like reprinted ballots. Passage and court validation could boost Republicans; rejection would favor Clyburn's renomination and historical dominance in the D+13 Cook PVI district. Full House Judiciary review and post-May 14 special session loom as pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$10,887End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 6th Congressional District House race remains tightly contested on prediction markets, with Republicans at 42.5% and Democrats at 40.5%, reflecting uncertainty over a GOP-led redistricting push. A House subcommittee advanced a bill on May 8 to delay congressional primaries from June 9 to August 11, enabling a proposed map (H.5683) that redraws SC-06 into a Republican-leaning district by shifting it toward the rural Pee Dee region, splitting Richland and York Counties, and drawing out Democratic incumbent Jim Clyburn. Prompted by a recent Supreme Court ruling against racial gerrymandering, the plan aims for an all-Republican delegation but faces Senate skepticism over risks to other seats, potential lawsuits, and logistical hurdles like reprinted ballots. Passage and court validation could boost Republicans; rejection would favor Clyburn's renomination and historical dominance in the D+13 Cook PVI district. Full House Judiciary review and post-May 14 special session loom as pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,887End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 6th Congressional District House race remains tightly contested on prediction markets, with Republicans at 42.5% and Democrats at 40.5%, reflecting uncertainty over a GOP-led redistricting push. A House subcommittee advanced a bill on May 8 to delay congressional primaries from June 9 to August 11, enabling a proposed map (H.5683) that redraws SC-06 into a Republican-leaning district by shifting it toward the rural Pee Dee region, splitting Richland and York Counties, and drawing out Democratic incumbent Jim Clyburn. Prompted by a recent Supreme Court ruling against racial gerrymandering, the plan aims for an all-Republican delegation but faces Senate skepticism over risks to other seats, potential lawsuits, and logistical hurdles like reprinted ballots. Passage and court validation could boost Republicans; rejection would favor Clyburn's renomination and historical dominance in the D+13 Cook PVI district. Full House Judiciary review and post-May 14 special session loom as pivotal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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