Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman holds a commanding lead in California's 30th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Friedman's 2024 margin exceeded 37 points, backed by substantial fundraising advantages over Republican challengers Dennis Feitosa and Scott Meyers. The June 2 top-two primary, with early voting already underway, is expected to advance the incumbent alongside a weak GOP contender. Historical retention rates in safe districts reinforce this positioning, though a national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent could still shift probabilities before the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-30 House Election Winner
CA-30 House Election Winner
$10,697 ปริมาณ
$10,697 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$10,697 ปริมาณ
$10,697 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,969 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$4,728 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman holds a commanding lead in California's 30th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Friedman's 2024 margin exceeded 37 points, backed by substantial fundraising advantages over Republican challengers Dennis Feitosa and Scott Meyers. The June 2 top-two primary, with early voting already underway, is expected to advance the incumbent alongside a weak GOP contender. Historical retention rates in safe districts reinforce this positioning, though a national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent could still shift probabilities before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,697วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman holds a commanding lead in California's 30th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Friedman's 2024 margin exceeded 37 points, backed by substantial fundraising advantages over Republican challengers Dennis Feitosa and Scott Meyers. The June 2 top-two primary, with early voting already underway, is expected to advance the incumbent alongside a weak GOP contender. Historical retention rates in safe districts reinforce this positioning, though a national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent could still shift probabilities before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,697วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman holds a commanding lead in California's 30th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Friedman's 2024 margin exceeded 37 points, backed by substantial fundraising advantages over Republican challengers Dennis Feitosa and Scott Meyers. The June 2 top-two primary, with early voting already underway, is expected to advance the incumbent alongside a weak GOP contender. Historical retention rates in safe districts reinforce this positioning, though a national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent could still shift probabilities before the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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