Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 52% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary, driven by his substantial self-funding advantage, including $6.4 million cash on hand reported in the latest April quarterly filing, bolstering incumbency protections in the Detroit-heavy district. Challenger state Rep. Donavan McKinney trails closely at 37.5%, gaining traction from progressive endorsements by Justice Democrats, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and local Black leaders emphasizing stronger community representation amid criticisms of Thanedar's record. With the candidate filing deadline looming on April 21, the race remains competitive ahead of the August 4 primary, while Shelby Campbell, Nazmul Hassan, and Anthony Carbonaro lag with single-digit support.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วShri Thanedar 52%
Donavan McKinney 38%
Shelby Campbell 4.1%
Nazmul Hassan 3.5%
$22,605 ปริมาณ
$22,605 ปริมาณ
Shri Thanedar
52%
Donavan McKinney
38%
Shelby Campbell
4%
Nazmul Hassan
4%
Anthony Carbonaro
2%
Shri Thanedar 52%
Donavan McKinney 38%
Shelby Campbell 4.1%
Nazmul Hassan 3.5%
$22,605 ปริมาณ
$22,605 ปริมาณ
Shri Thanedar
52%
Donavan McKinney
38%
Shelby Campbell
4%
Nazmul Hassan
4%
Anthony Carbonaro
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 52% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary, driven by his substantial self-funding advantage, including $6.4 million cash on hand reported in the latest April quarterly filing, bolstering incumbency protections in the Detroit-heavy district. Challenger state Rep. Donavan McKinney trails closely at 37.5%, gaining traction from progressive endorsements by Justice Democrats, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and local Black leaders emphasizing stronger community representation amid criticisms of Thanedar's record. With the candidate filing deadline looming on April 21, the race remains competitive ahead of the August 4 primary, while Shelby Campbell, Nazmul Hassan, and Anthony Carbonaro lag with single-digit support.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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