The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 31st congressional district, rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP presidential nominee by double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against nine challengers, avoiding a runoff and reinforcing continuity in a seat he has held since 2003. Democratic nominee Justin Early lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising momentum. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, significant late-cycle scandal, or sharp turnout reversal in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$45,379 ปริมาณ
$45,379 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$45,379 ปริมาณ
$45,379 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$24,918 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$20,461 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 31st congressional district, rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP presidential nominee by double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against nine challengers, avoiding a runoff and reinforcing continuity in a seat he has held since 2003. Democratic nominee Justin Early lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising momentum. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, significant late-cycle scandal, or sharp turnout reversal in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,379วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 31st congressional district, rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP presidential nominee by double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against nine challengers, avoiding a runoff and reinforcing continuity in a seat he has held since 2003. Democratic nominee Justin Early lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising momentum. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, significant late-cycle scandal, or sharp turnout reversal in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,379วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 31st congressional district, rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP presidential nominee by double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against nine challengers, avoiding a runoff and reinforcing continuity in a seat he has held since 2003. Democratic nominee Justin Early lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising momentum. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, significant late-cycle scandal, or sharp turnout reversal in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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