Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary solidified trader consensus at 84% for a GOP victory in this Solid Republican TX-31 district, rated R+11 by Cook PVI after 2025 redistricting. Carter's prior 64% general election triumph in 2024, Trump endorsement, and fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Democrat Justin Early's $89,000 as of late March—underscore the steep path for the underfunded challenger, who narrowly won his primary. With no public polling indicating a contest and the November 3 general election approaching, markets reflect the district's reliable Republican lean and incumbency advantages amid stable post-primary dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$13,946 ปริมาณ
$13,946 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
16%
$13,946 ปริมาณ
$13,946 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,720 ปริมาณ
85%
Democratic Party
$5,226 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary solidified trader consensus at 84% for a GOP victory in this Solid Republican TX-31 district, rated R+11 by Cook PVI after 2025 redistricting. Carter's prior 64% general election triumph in 2024, Trump endorsement, and fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Democrat Justin Early's $89,000 as of late March—underscore the steep path for the underfunded challenger, who narrowly won his primary. With no public polling indicating a contest and the November 3 general election approaching, markets reflect the district's reliable Republican lean and incumbency advantages amid stable post-primary dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,946วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary solidified trader consensus at 84% for a GOP victory in this Solid Republican TX-31 district, rated R+11 by Cook PVI after 2025 redistricting. Carter's prior 64% general election triumph in 2024, Trump endorsement, and fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Democrat Justin Early's $89,000 as of late March—underscore the steep path for the underfunded challenger, who narrowly won his primary. With no public polling indicating a contest and the November 3 general election approaching, markets reflect the district's reliable Republican lean and incumbency advantages amid stable post-primary dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,946วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary solidified trader consensus at 84% for a GOP victory in this Solid Republican TX-31 district, rated R+11 by Cook PVI after 2025 redistricting. Carter's prior 64% general election triumph in 2024, Trump endorsement, and fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Democrat Justin Early's $89,000 as of late March—underscore the steep path for the underfunded challenger, who narrowly won his primary. With no public polling indicating a contest and the November 3 general election approaching, markets reflect the district's reliable Republican lean and incumbency advantages amid stable post-primary dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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