Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73.5% implied probability in the TX-32 House race due to 2025 mid-decade redistricting that transformed the North Texas suburban district—previously held by Democrat Julie Johnson—into a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, where Donald Trump carried it 56%-42% in 2024. Trump-endorsed nominee Jace Yarbrough, a constitutional attorney with endorsements from Gov. Greg Abbott, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Rep. Jim Jordan, dominates fundraising with over $612,000 raised versus Democrat Dan Barrios' $67,000 as of late March. Barrios, Richardson City Councilman, advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but trails amid the GOP-leaning map ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$26,069 ปริมาณ
$26,069 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
58%
Democratic Party
23%
$26,069 ปริมาณ
$26,069 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$25,719 ปริมาณ
58%
Democratic Party
$351 ปริมาณ
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73.5% implied probability in the TX-32 House race due to 2025 mid-decade redistricting that transformed the North Texas suburban district—previously held by Democrat Julie Johnson—into a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, where Donald Trump carried it 56%-42% in 2024. Trump-endorsed nominee Jace Yarbrough, a constitutional attorney with endorsements from Gov. Greg Abbott, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Rep. Jim Jordan, dominates fundraising with over $612,000 raised versus Democrat Dan Barrios' $67,000 as of late March. Barrios, Richardson City Councilman, advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but trails amid the GOP-leaning map ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,069วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73.5% implied probability in the TX-32 House race due to 2025 mid-decade redistricting that transformed the North Texas suburban district—previously held by Democrat Julie Johnson—into a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, where Donald Trump carried it 56%-42% in 2024. Trump-endorsed nominee Jace Yarbrough, a constitutional attorney with endorsements from Gov. Greg Abbott, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Rep. Jim Jordan, dominates fundraising with over $612,000 raised versus Democrat Dan Barrios' $67,000 as of late March. Barrios, Richardson City Councilman, advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but trails amid the GOP-leaning map ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,069วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73.5% implied probability in the TX-32 House race due to 2025 mid-decade redistricting that transformed the North Texas suburban district—previously held by Democrat Julie Johnson—into a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, where Donald Trump carried it 56%-42% in 2024. Trump-endorsed nominee Jace Yarbrough, a constitutional attorney with endorsements from Gov. Greg Abbott, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Rep. Jim Jordan, dominates fundraising with over $612,000 raised versus Democrat Dan Barrios' $67,000 as of late March. Barrios, Richardson City Councilman, advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but trails amid the GOP-leaning map ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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