Joe Wilson maintains a commanding lead in the SC-02 House election market due to his long incumbency in a district with consistent Republican voting patterns, strong primary performance, and limited Democratic opposition. The district's electoral math favors the incumbent, with historical turnout and partisan registration data reinforcing trader consensus on the outcome. Zyon Khalifa trails significantly as the main challenger. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include delays in final vote certification, legal disputes over ballots in specific counties, or unexpected shifts in outstanding absentee and provisional counts, though such developments remain uncommon in this race.