Joe Wilson maintains a commanding 92% implied probability in the SC-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean of roughly 15 points and his two-decade incumbency advantage. The longtime representative secured his party’s nomination with 74% in the June primary, while Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, an Air Force veteran and attorney, emerged from a low-turnout runoff with limited name recognition or resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting stable voter registration patterns and Wilson’s established constituent relationships across central South Carolina counties. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before November 3, none of which have materialized in recent reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$39,934 ปริมาณ
$39,934 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
5%
$39,934 ปริมาณ
$39,934 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
$15,155 ปริมาณ
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
$24,779 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson maintains a commanding 92% implied probability in the SC-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean of roughly 15 points and his two-decade incumbency advantage. The longtime representative secured his party’s nomination with 74% in the June primary, while Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, an Air Force veteran and attorney, emerged from a low-turnout runoff with limited name recognition or resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting stable voter registration patterns and Wilson’s established constituent relationships across central South Carolina counties. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before November 3, none of which have materialized in recent reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,934วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson maintains a commanding 92% implied probability in the SC-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean of roughly 15 points and his two-decade incumbency advantage. The longtime representative secured his party’s nomination with 74% in the June primary, while Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, an Air Force veteran and attorney, emerged from a low-turnout runoff with limited name recognition or resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting stable voter registration patterns and Wilson’s established constituent relationships across central South Carolina counties. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before November 3, none of which have materialized in recent reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,934วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Joe Wilson maintains a commanding 92% implied probability in the SC-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean of roughly 15 points and his two-decade incumbency advantage. The longtime representative secured his party’s nomination with 74% in the June primary, while Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, an Air Force veteran and attorney, emerged from a low-turnout runoff with limited name recognition or resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting stable voter registration patterns and Wilson’s established constituent relationships across central South Carolina counties. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge, major scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent before November 3, none of which have materialized in recent reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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