Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson's dominant position in the safely Republican SC-02 district, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus pricing a Republican Party general election win at 82%, reflecting the district's R+7 partisan lean and Donald Trump's 14-point 2024 margin there. Wilson's strong fundraising ($669,000 as of late March) and prior easy victories, including 59.5% in 2024 against Democrat David Robinson II, bolster this edge amid a fragmented Democratic primary field of four low-funded contenders—Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief—finalized after the March 30 filing deadline. Candidate outcomes A, B, and Other trade near 50% amid pre-primary uncertainty ahead of June 9 nominating contests, while Democratic Party odds languish at 18.5% due to weak opposition.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$26,954 ปริมาณ
$26,954 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
19%
$26,954 ปริมาณ
$26,954 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
19%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson's dominant position in the safely Republican SC-02 district, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus pricing a Republican Party general election win at 82%, reflecting the district's R+7 partisan lean and Donald Trump's 14-point 2024 margin there. Wilson's strong fundraising ($669,000 as of late March) and prior easy victories, including 59.5% in 2024 against Democrat David Robinson II, bolster this edge amid a fragmented Democratic primary field of four low-funded contenders—Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief—finalized after the March 30 filing deadline. Candidate outcomes A, B, and Other trade near 50% amid pre-primary uncertainty ahead of June 9 nominating contests, while Democratic Party odds languish at 18.5% due to weak opposition.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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