The Democratic nominee maintains a commanding lead in Oregon's 1st congressional district race, driven by the area's longstanding partisan composition and the incumbent's entrenched position. With a Partisan Voter Index of D+20 and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points, the seat has shown little competitiveness. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici's decisive win in the May 19, 2026 Democratic primary further solidifies continuity ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voter demographics and historical turnout patterns across the western Portland suburbs and coastal counties. Even with such a wide margin, developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or pronounced national political shift could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,822 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$1,172 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee maintains a commanding lead in Oregon's 1st congressional district race, driven by the area's longstanding partisan composition and the incumbent's entrenched position. With a Partisan Voter Index of D+20 and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points, the seat has shown little competitiveness. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici's decisive win in the May 19, 2026 Democratic primary further solidifies continuity ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voter demographics and historical turnout patterns across the western Portland suburbs and coastal counties. Even with such a wide margin, developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or pronounced national political shift could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,994วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee maintains a commanding lead in Oregon's 1st congressional district race, driven by the area's longstanding partisan composition and the incumbent's entrenched position. With a Partisan Voter Index of D+20 and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points, the seat has shown little competitiveness. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici's decisive win in the May 19, 2026 Democratic primary further solidifies continuity ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voter demographics and historical turnout patterns across the western Portland suburbs and coastal counties. Even with such a wide margin, developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or pronounced national political shift could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,994วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee maintains a commanding lead in Oregon's 1st congressional district race, driven by the area's longstanding partisan composition and the incumbent's entrenched position. With a Partisan Voter Index of D+20 and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points, the seat has shown little competitiveness. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici's decisive win in the May 19, 2026 Democratic primary further solidifies continuity ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voter demographics and historical turnout patterns across the western Portland suburbs and coastal counties. Even with such a wide margin, developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or pronounced national political shift could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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