The district's strong Democratic registration advantage and consistent historical performance in San Francisco and surrounding areas have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic victor. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after decades representing the seat has drawn a crowded primary field of Democratic candidates, including state Sen. Scott Wiener and others, all competing for the nomination ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Republican contenders remain marginal with limited fundraising and name recognition. While the general election in November is widely viewed as noncompetitive given the seat’s partisan composition, a late primary upset or unforeseen local development could still influence the final outcome in the unlikely event it alters the nominee’s viability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-11 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic registration advantage and consistent historical performance in San Francisco and surrounding areas have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic victor. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after decades representing the seat has drawn a crowded primary field of Democratic candidates, including state Sen. Scott Wiener and others, all competing for the nomination ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Republican contenders remain marginal with limited fundraising and name recognition. While the general election in November is widely viewed as noncompetitive given the seat’s partisan composition, a late primary upset or unforeseen local development could still influence the final outcome in the unlikely event it alters the nominee’s viability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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