In California's 11th Congressional District, a safe Democratic stronghold with a D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index, trader consensus prices a Democratic Party victory at 95% due to the open seat left by retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi and dominance in the June 2 top-two primary by high-profile Democrats like state Sen. Scott Wiener (polling 33–44% in April surveys from Data for Progress and GQR) and Saikat Chakrabarti (28% in one poll), who lead in fundraising exceeding $3 million each while Republicans trail with negligible support. Historical blowouts—Pelosi's 81% in 2024—and heavy Democratic registration in San Francisco ensure the general election matchup on November 3 favors the party. Realistic challenges include a surprise Republican primary advancement amid Democratic vote splits, amplified by a national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain formidable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$234 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$701 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 11th Congressional District, a safe Democratic stronghold with a D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index, trader consensus prices a Democratic Party victory at 95% due to the open seat left by retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi and dominance in the June 2 top-two primary by high-profile Democrats like state Sen. Scott Wiener (polling 33–44% in April surveys from Data for Progress and GQR) and Saikat Chakrabarti (28% in one poll), who lead in fundraising exceeding $3 million each while Republicans trail with negligible support. Historical blowouts—Pelosi's 81% in 2024—and heavy Democratic registration in San Francisco ensure the general election matchup on November 3 favors the party. Realistic challenges include a surprise Republican primary advancement amid Democratic vote splits, amplified by a national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$935วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 11th Congressional District, a safe Democratic stronghold with a D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index, trader consensus prices a Democratic Party victory at 95% due to the open seat left by retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi and dominance in the June 2 top-two primary by high-profile Democrats like state Sen. Scott Wiener (polling 33–44% in April surveys from Data for Progress and GQR) and Saikat Chakrabarti (28% in one poll), who lead in fundraising exceeding $3 million each while Republicans trail with negligible support. Historical blowouts—Pelosi's 81% in 2024—and heavy Democratic registration in San Francisco ensure the general election matchup on November 3 favors the party. Realistic challenges include a surprise Republican primary advancement amid Democratic vote splits, amplified by a national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$935วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In California's 11th Congressional District, a safe Democratic stronghold with a D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index, trader consensus prices a Democratic Party victory at 95% due to the open seat left by retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi and dominance in the June 2 top-two primary by high-profile Democrats like state Sen. Scott Wiener (polling 33–44% in April surveys from Data for Progress and GQR) and Saikat Chakrabarti (28% in one poll), who lead in fundraising exceeding $3 million each while Republicans trail with negligible support. Historical blowouts—Pelosi's 81% in 2024—and heavy Democratic registration in San Francisco ensure the general election matchup on November 3 favors the party. Realistic challenges include a surprise Republican primary advancement amid Democratic vote splits, amplified by a national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain formidable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย