Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's commanding fundraising lead, with over $800,000 cash on hand as of late March amid a D+28 partisan lean district, anchors trader consensus at 93.7% for a Democratic House win in CA-34. The Los Angeles-based seat, where 73% backed Kamala Harris in 2024, features a crowded top-two primary on June 2 featuring five Democrats and one underfunded Republican, Calvin Lee, making a GOP general election advance unlikely based on historical patterns in safe Democratic districts. Early voting began May 4 without major shifts. While a stunning primary upset, nominee scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could challenge this, such barriers keep Republican odds at 3.9%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-34 House Election Winner
CA-34 House Election Winner
$23,578 ปริมาณ
$23,578 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$23,578 ปริมาณ
$23,578 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,996 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$16,583 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's commanding fundraising lead, with over $800,000 cash on hand as of late March amid a D+28 partisan lean district, anchors trader consensus at 93.7% for a Democratic House win in CA-34. The Los Angeles-based seat, where 73% backed Kamala Harris in 2024, features a crowded top-two primary on June 2 featuring five Democrats and one underfunded Republican, Calvin Lee, making a GOP general election advance unlikely based on historical patterns in safe Democratic districts. Early voting began May 4 without major shifts. While a stunning primary upset, nominee scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could challenge this, such barriers keep Republican odds at 3.9%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,578วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's commanding fundraising lead, with over $800,000 cash on hand as of late March amid a D+28 partisan lean district, anchors trader consensus at 93.7% for a Democratic House win in CA-34. The Los Angeles-based seat, where 73% backed Kamala Harris in 2024, features a crowded top-two primary on June 2 featuring five Democrats and one underfunded Republican, Calvin Lee, making a GOP general election advance unlikely based on historical patterns in safe Democratic districts. Early voting began May 4 without major shifts. While a stunning primary upset, nominee scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could challenge this, such barriers keep Republican odds at 3.9%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,578วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's commanding fundraising lead, with over $800,000 cash on hand as of late March amid a D+28 partisan lean district, anchors trader consensus at 93.7% for a Democratic House win in CA-34. The Los Angeles-based seat, where 73% backed Kamala Harris in 2024, features a crowded top-two primary on June 2 featuring five Democrats and one underfunded Republican, Calvin Lee, making a GOP general election advance unlikely based on historical patterns in safe Democratic districts. Early voting began May 4 without major shifts. While a stunning primary upset, nominee scandal, health issue, or massive national Republican wave could challenge this, such barriers keep Republican odds at 3.9%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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