Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent in California's 12th congressional district, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election following her 84% primary victory over challenger Jamie Joyce on June 2. The solidly Democratic district, which Simon carried by over 30 points in 2024, features limited opposition and substantial fundraising advantages for the incumbent. Independent ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though low-probability shifts such as unusually high turnout for minor candidates or unforeseen developments before Election Day could still influence the outcome under California's top-two primary system.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Lateefah Simon
95%
Jamie Joyce
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Lateefah Simon
$1,454 ปริมาณ
95%
Jamie Joyce
$1,107 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent in California's 12th congressional district, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election following her 84% primary victory over challenger Jamie Joyce on June 2. The solidly Democratic district, which Simon carried by over 30 points in 2024, features limited opposition and substantial fundraising advantages for the incumbent. Independent ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though low-probability shifts such as unusually high turnout for minor candidates or unforeseen developments before Election Day could still influence the outcome under California's top-two primary system.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,561วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent in California's 12th congressional district, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election following her 84% primary victory over challenger Jamie Joyce on June 2. The solidly Democratic district, which Simon carried by over 30 points in 2024, features limited opposition and substantial fundraising advantages for the incumbent. Independent ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though low-probability shifts such as unusually high turnout for minor candidates or unforeseen developments before Election Day could still influence the outcome under California's top-two primary system.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,561วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent in California's 12th congressional district, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election following her 84% primary victory over challenger Jamie Joyce on June 2. The solidly Democratic district, which Simon carried by over 30 points in 2024, features limited opposition and substantial fundraising advantages for the incumbent. Independent ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though low-probability shifts such as unusually high turnout for minor candidates or unforeseen developments before Election Day could still influence the outcome under California's top-two primary system.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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