Incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne, who won reelection in 2024 by 21 points in this suburban Dallas district (R+8 Cook PVI), secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary, bolstering trader confidence in a GOP hold. The district saw minimal changes under Texas's 2025 redistricting, maintaining its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge (48% in first round) and TJ Ware (26%), reflecting a fragmented field with low primary turnout. Absent polling or major shifts, trader consensus prices Republican victory at 70%, emphasizing incumbency advantage and partisan lean amid the 2026 midterms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-24 House Election Winner
TX-24 House Election Winner
$26,097 ปริมาณ
$26,097 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
24%
$26,097 ปริมาณ
$26,097 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,168 ปริมาณ
68%
Democratic Party
$14,929 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne, who won reelection in 2024 by 21 points in this suburban Dallas district (R+8 Cook PVI), secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary, bolstering trader confidence in a GOP hold. The district saw minimal changes under Texas's 2025 redistricting, maintaining its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge (48% in first round) and TJ Ware (26%), reflecting a fragmented field with low primary turnout. Absent polling or major shifts, trader consensus prices Republican victory at 70%, emphasizing incumbency advantage and partisan lean amid the 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,097วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne, who won reelection in 2024 by 21 points in this suburban Dallas district (R+8 Cook PVI), secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary, bolstering trader confidence in a GOP hold. The district saw minimal changes under Texas's 2025 redistricting, maintaining its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge (48% in first round) and TJ Ware (26%), reflecting a fragmented field with low primary turnout. Absent polling or major shifts, trader consensus prices Republican victory at 70%, emphasizing incumbency advantage and partisan lean amid the 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,097วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne, who won reelection in 2024 by 21 points in this suburban Dallas district (R+8 Cook PVI), secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary, bolstering trader confidence in a GOP hold. The district saw minimal changes under Texas's 2025 redistricting, maintaining its Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge (48% in first round) and TJ Ware (26%), reflecting a fragmented field with low primary turnout. Absent polling or major shifts, trader consensus prices Republican victory at 70%, emphasizing incumbency advantage and partisan lean amid the 2026 midterms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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