Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability to win Florida's 24th Congressional District House seat, reflecting Rep. Frederica Wilson's incumbency advantage in this D+18 Cook PVI stronghold, where she secured 68% in 2024 and over 70% in prior cycles amid negligible Republican opposition fundraising. Recent passage of Gov. Ron DeSantis' mid-decade redistricting map by the Florida legislature on May 4—yielding a projected 24-4 GOP statewide split—left FL-24 untouched as a safe Democratic hold per Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Weak GOP primary contenders Patricia Gonzalez and Imtiaz Mohammad trail Wilson's $390,000 cash-on-hand. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election loom, but a late scandal, health issue for the 83-year-old incumbent, or massive Republican midterm turnout surge could narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-24 House Election Winner
FL-24 House Election Winner
$15,365 ปริมาณ
$15,365 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$15,365 ปริมาณ
$15,365 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,268 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$8,097 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability to win Florida's 24th Congressional District House seat, reflecting Rep. Frederica Wilson's incumbency advantage in this D+18 Cook PVI stronghold, where she secured 68% in 2024 and over 70% in prior cycles amid negligible Republican opposition fundraising. Recent passage of Gov. Ron DeSantis' mid-decade redistricting map by the Florida legislature on May 4—yielding a projected 24-4 GOP statewide split—left FL-24 untouched as a safe Democratic hold per Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Weak GOP primary contenders Patricia Gonzalez and Imtiaz Mohammad trail Wilson's $390,000 cash-on-hand. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election loom, but a late scandal, health issue for the 83-year-old incumbent, or massive Republican midterm turnout surge could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,365วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability to win Florida's 24th Congressional District House seat, reflecting Rep. Frederica Wilson's incumbency advantage in this D+18 Cook PVI stronghold, where she secured 68% in 2024 and over 70% in prior cycles amid negligible Republican opposition fundraising. Recent passage of Gov. Ron DeSantis' mid-decade redistricting map by the Florida legislature on May 4—yielding a projected 24-4 GOP statewide split—left FL-24 untouched as a safe Democratic hold per Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Weak GOP primary contenders Patricia Gonzalez and Imtiaz Mohammad trail Wilson's $390,000 cash-on-hand. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election loom, but a late scandal, health issue for the 83-year-old incumbent, or massive Republican midterm turnout surge could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,365วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability to win Florida's 24th Congressional District House seat, reflecting Rep. Frederica Wilson's incumbency advantage in this D+18 Cook PVI stronghold, where she secured 68% in 2024 and over 70% in prior cycles amid negligible Republican opposition fundraising. Recent passage of Gov. Ron DeSantis' mid-decade redistricting map by the Florida legislature on May 4—yielding a projected 24-4 GOP statewide split—left FL-24 untouched as a safe Democratic hold per Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Weak GOP primary contenders Patricia Gonzalez and Imtiaz Mohammad trail Wilson's $390,000 cash-on-hand. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election loom, but a late scandal, health issue for the 83-year-old incumbent, or massive Republican midterm turnout surge could narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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