Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Amo secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Historical voting patterns, including the district’s support for Kamala Harris by 12.5 points in 2024, underpin trader consensus around Amo’s high implied probability. An independent candidate on the November 3 ballot could marginally affect margins but faces structural barriers in this environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRI-01 House Election Winner
RI-01 House Election Winner
$32,011 ปริมาณ
$32,011 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Gabe Amo (D)
95%
Kellie Keenan (R)
6%
$32,011 ปริมาณ
$32,011 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Gabe Amo (D)
$6,061 ปริมาณ
95%
Kellie Keenan (R)
$25,949 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Amo secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Historical voting patterns, including the district’s support for Kamala Harris by 12.5 points in 2024, underpin trader consensus around Amo’s high implied probability. An independent candidate on the November 3 ballot could marginally affect margins but faces structural barriers in this environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,011วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Amo secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Historical voting patterns, including the district’s support for Kamala Harris by 12.5 points in 2024, underpin trader consensus around Amo’s high implied probability. An independent candidate on the November 3 ballot could marginally affect margins but faces structural barriers in this environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,011วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Amo secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Historical voting patterns, including the district’s support for Kamala Harris by 12.5 points in 2024, underpin trader consensus around Amo’s high implied probability. An independent candidate on the November 3 ballot could marginally affect margins but faces structural barriers in this environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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