Incumbent Rep. Lou Correa (D) commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability for victory in California's 46th Congressional District, a D+11 seat spanning Santa Ana, Anaheim, and surrounding Orange County areas with strong Democratic presidential margins like Biden's 64%-34% in 2020. His reelection bid benefits from massive fundraising superiority—$2.4 million cash on hand versus Republican David Pan's $29,000—multiple Democratic primary challengers diluting GOP advancement odds in the June 2 top-two primary, and Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent CHC BOLD PAC endorsement reinforces his position. Realistic challenges include a primary upset propelling a well-funded Republican, Correa scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout in this reliably blue district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-46 House Election Winner
CA-46 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$772 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$8,573 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lou Correa (D) commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability for victory in California's 46th Congressional District, a D+11 seat spanning Santa Ana, Anaheim, and surrounding Orange County areas with strong Democratic presidential margins like Biden's 64%-34% in 2020. His reelection bid benefits from massive fundraising superiority—$2.4 million cash on hand versus Republican David Pan's $29,000—multiple Democratic primary challengers diluting GOP advancement odds in the June 2 top-two primary, and Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent CHC BOLD PAC endorsement reinforces his position. Realistic challenges include a primary upset propelling a well-funded Republican, Correa scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout in this reliably blue district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,346วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lou Correa (D) commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability for victory in California's 46th Congressional District, a D+11 seat spanning Santa Ana, Anaheim, and surrounding Orange County areas with strong Democratic presidential margins like Biden's 64%-34% in 2020. His reelection bid benefits from massive fundraising superiority—$2.4 million cash on hand versus Republican David Pan's $29,000—multiple Democratic primary challengers diluting GOP advancement odds in the June 2 top-two primary, and Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent CHC BOLD PAC endorsement reinforces his position. Realistic challenges include a primary upset propelling a well-funded Republican, Correa scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout in this reliably blue district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,346วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lou Correa (D) commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability for victory in California's 46th Congressional District, a D+11 seat spanning Santa Ana, Anaheim, and surrounding Orange County areas with strong Democratic presidential margins like Biden's 64%-34% in 2020. His reelection bid benefits from massive fundraising superiority—$2.4 million cash on hand versus Republican David Pan's $29,000—multiple Democratic primary challengers diluting GOP advancement odds in the June 2 top-two primary, and Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent CHC BOLD PAC endorsement reinforces his position. Realistic challenges include a primary upset propelling a well-funded Republican, Correa scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout in this reliably blue district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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