Incumbent Democratic Representative John Mannion, who captured the seat in 2024, faces Republican primary challengers including Kailee Buller ahead of the June 23 primaries in New York’s 22nd congressional district. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Limited polling and early-cycle dynamics, combined with the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies in recent months, keep the race from solidifying further. Potential primary outcomes and any subsequent candidate positioning could influence general election probabilities before November voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-22 House Election Winner
NY-22 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
52%
Republican Party
39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$240 ปริมาณ
52%
Republican Party
$132 ปริมาณ
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative John Mannion, who captured the seat in 2024, faces Republican primary challengers including Kailee Buller ahead of the June 23 primaries in New York’s 22nd congressional district. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Limited polling and early-cycle dynamics, combined with the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies in recent months, keep the race from solidifying further. Potential primary outcomes and any subsequent candidate positioning could influence general election probabilities before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$372วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative John Mannion, who captured the seat in 2024, faces Republican primary challengers including Kailee Buller ahead of the June 23 primaries in New York’s 22nd congressional district. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Limited polling and early-cycle dynamics, combined with the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies in recent months, keep the race from solidifying further. Potential primary outcomes and any subsequent candidate positioning could influence general election probabilities before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$372วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative John Mannion, who captured the seat in 2024, faces Republican primary challengers including Kailee Buller ahead of the June 23 primaries in New York’s 22nd congressional district. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November general election. Limited polling and early-cycle dynamics, combined with the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies in recent months, keep the race from solidifying further. Potential primary outcomes and any subsequent candidate positioning could influence general election probabilities before November voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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