Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability to retain Maryland's 6th congressional district House seat, driven by the district's strong partisan voting index leaning Democratic by double digits and consistent large-margin victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney leads former Rep. David Trone 49%-38% in her campaign's April poll—despite Trone's $6.7 million self-funding—positioning a Democrat as the clear general election nominee after the June 23 primary. The Republican primary features three low-profile candidates with minimal fundraising, underscoring significant barriers to a GOP upset absent extraordinary developments like scandals or national wave shifts before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-06 House Election Winner
MD-06 House Election Winner
$10,671 ปริมาณ
$10,671 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
10%
$10,671 ปริมาณ
$10,671 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,701 ปริมาณ
88%
Republican Party
$7,970 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability to retain Maryland's 6th congressional district House seat, driven by the district's strong partisan voting index leaning Democratic by double digits and consistent large-margin victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney leads former Rep. David Trone 49%-38% in her campaign's April poll—despite Trone's $6.7 million self-funding—positioning a Democrat as the clear general election nominee after the June 23 primary. The Republican primary features three low-profile candidates with minimal fundraising, underscoring significant barriers to a GOP upset absent extraordinary developments like scandals or national wave shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,671วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability to retain Maryland's 6th congressional district House seat, driven by the district's strong partisan voting index leaning Democratic by double digits and consistent large-margin victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney leads former Rep. David Trone 49%-38% in her campaign's April poll—despite Trone's $6.7 million self-funding—positioning a Democrat as the clear general election nominee after the June 23 primary. The Republican primary features three low-profile candidates with minimal fundraising, underscoring significant barriers to a GOP upset absent extraordinary developments like scandals or national wave shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,671วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability to retain Maryland's 6th congressional district House seat, driven by the district's strong partisan voting index leaning Democratic by double digits and consistent large-margin victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney leads former Rep. David Trone 49%-38% in her campaign's April poll—despite Trone's $6.7 million self-funding—positioning a Democrat as the clear general election nominee after the June 23 primary. The Republican primary features three low-profile candidates with minimal fundraising, underscoring significant barriers to a GOP upset absent extraordinary developments like scandals or national wave shifts before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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