Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026, primary for Illinois' open 8th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, defeating a crowded field with 31.8% amid ratings of Solid Democratic from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, reflecting a 53%-46% Democratic presidential margin in 2024, combined with Krishnamoorthi's consistent 57% general election wins in 2022 and 2024 against underperforming Republicans, drives trader consensus toward Democrats at 89.5%. Jennifer Davis's narrower 51% Republican primary victory underscores GOP challenges in this Chicago-northwest suburban battleground, with no public general election polls yet available and the November contest looming. Late developments like national midterm trends or candidate scandals could shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-08 House Election Winner
IL-08 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,046 ปริมาณ
90%
Republican Party
$2,467 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026, primary for Illinois' open 8th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, defeating a crowded field with 31.8% amid ratings of Solid Democratic from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, reflecting a 53%-46% Democratic presidential margin in 2024, combined with Krishnamoorthi's consistent 57% general election wins in 2022 and 2024 against underperforming Republicans, drives trader consensus toward Democrats at 89.5%. Jennifer Davis's narrower 51% Republican primary victory underscores GOP challenges in this Chicago-northwest suburban battleground, with no public general election polls yet available and the November contest looming. Late developments like national midterm trends or candidate scandals could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,514วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026, primary for Illinois' open 8th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, defeating a crowded field with 31.8% amid ratings of Solid Democratic from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, reflecting a 53%-46% Democratic presidential margin in 2024, combined with Krishnamoorthi's consistent 57% general election wins in 2022 and 2024 against underperforming Republicans, drives trader consensus toward Democrats at 89.5%. Jennifer Davis's narrower 51% Republican primary victory underscores GOP challenges in this Chicago-northwest suburban battleground, with no public general election polls yet available and the November contest looming. Late developments like national midterm trends or candidate scandals could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,514วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026, primary for Illinois' open 8th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, defeating a crowded field with 31.8% amid ratings of Solid Democratic from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, reflecting a 53%-46% Democratic presidential margin in 2024, combined with Krishnamoorthi's consistent 57% general election wins in 2022 and 2024 against underperforming Republicans, drives trader consensus toward Democrats at 89.5%. Jennifer Davis's narrower 51% Republican primary victory underscores GOP challenges in this Chicago-northwest suburban battleground, with no public general election polls yet available and the November contest looming. Late developments like national midterm trends or candidate scandals could shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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