The redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th Congressional District toward a Democratic lean by incorporating Sacramento-area suburbs and cities such as West Sacramento and parts of Roseville. This structural change positioned the seat as a likely or safe Democratic pickup in nonpartisan forecasts. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan, a former state senator and pediatrician, advanced alongside incumbent Kevin Kiley, who ran as no party preference. A July general-election poll showed Pan narrowly ahead, and the absence of major Republican challengers or recent polling reversals has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
$50,822 ปริมาณ
$50,822 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$50,822 ปริมาณ
$50,822 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,032 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$24,791 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th Congressional District toward a Democratic lean by incorporating Sacramento-area suburbs and cities such as West Sacramento and parts of Roseville. This structural change positioned the seat as a likely or safe Democratic pickup in nonpartisan forecasts. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan, a former state senator and pediatrician, advanced alongside incumbent Kevin Kiley, who ran as no party preference. A July general-election poll showed Pan narrowly ahead, and the absence of major Republican challengers or recent polling reversals has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,822วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th Congressional District toward a Democratic lean by incorporating Sacramento-area suburbs and cities such as West Sacramento and parts of Roseville. This structural change positioned the seat as a likely or safe Democratic pickup in nonpartisan forecasts. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan, a former state senator and pediatrician, advanced alongside incumbent Kevin Kiley, who ran as no party preference. A July general-election poll showed Pan narrowly ahead, and the absence of major Republican challengers or recent polling reversals has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,822วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th Congressional District toward a Democratic lean by incorporating Sacramento-area suburbs and cities such as West Sacramento and parts of Roseville. This structural change positioned the seat as a likely or safe Democratic pickup in nonpartisan forecasts. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan, a former state senator and pediatrician, advanced alongside incumbent Kevin Kiley, who ran as no party preference. A July general-election poll showed Pan narrowly ahead, and the absence of major Republican challengers or recent polling reversals has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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