In California's 6th Congressional District, a D+8 Cook PVI lean and the absence of declared Republican candidates heavily favor the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability, as traders anticipate the top-two primary on June 2 producing either two Democrats or a Democrat paired with no-party-preference incumbent Kevin Kiley. Recent Proposition 50 redistricting in November 2025 made the Sacramento-area seat more Democratic-leaning, while Kiley's March switch from GOP to no party preference dilutes organized Republican efforts despite his fundraising lead of $2.1 million cash-on-hand. Thien Ho leads Democrats in endorsements and viability. Upsets would need Kiley advancing strongly, a national GOP midterm wave, or scandals sidelining the Democratic nominee before the November 3 general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,406 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 6th Congressional District, a D+8 Cook PVI lean and the absence of declared Republican candidates heavily favor the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability, as traders anticipate the top-two primary on June 2 producing either two Democrats or a Democrat paired with no-party-preference incumbent Kevin Kiley. Recent Proposition 50 redistricting in November 2025 made the Sacramento-area seat more Democratic-leaning, while Kiley's March switch from GOP to no party preference dilutes organized Republican efforts despite his fundraising lead of $2.1 million cash-on-hand. Thien Ho leads Democrats in endorsements and viability. Upsets would need Kiley advancing strongly, a national GOP midterm wave, or scandals sidelining the Democratic nominee before the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,406วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 6th Congressional District, a D+8 Cook PVI lean and the absence of declared Republican candidates heavily favor the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability, as traders anticipate the top-two primary on June 2 producing either two Democrats or a Democrat paired with no-party-preference incumbent Kevin Kiley. Recent Proposition 50 redistricting in November 2025 made the Sacramento-area seat more Democratic-leaning, while Kiley's March switch from GOP to no party preference dilutes organized Republican efforts despite his fundraising lead of $2.1 million cash-on-hand. Thien Ho leads Democrats in endorsements and viability. Upsets would need Kiley advancing strongly, a national GOP midterm wave, or scandals sidelining the Democratic nominee before the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,406วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In California's 6th Congressional District, a D+8 Cook PVI lean and the absence of declared Republican candidates heavily favor the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability, as traders anticipate the top-two primary on June 2 producing either two Democrats or a Democrat paired with no-party-preference incumbent Kevin Kiley. Recent Proposition 50 redistricting in November 2025 made the Sacramento-area seat more Democratic-leaning, while Kiley's March switch from GOP to no party preference dilutes organized Republican efforts despite his fundraising lead of $2.1 million cash-on-hand. Thien Ho leads Democrats in endorsements and viability. Upsets would need Kiley advancing strongly, a national GOP midterm wave, or scandals sidelining the Democratic nominee before the November 3 general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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