The strong Democratic position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and the incumbent's repeated reelection margins exceeding 67 percent in recent cycles. Betty McCollum, the longtime representative and senior appropriator, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, vote, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid Democratic, underscoring the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition. A national political shift or unusually high turnout in the Republican primary could introduce modest volatility before the November general election, though historical patterns indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,191 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$3,432 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and the incumbent's repeated reelection margins exceeding 67 percent in recent cycles. Betty McCollum, the longtime representative and senior appropriator, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, vote, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid Democratic, underscoring the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition. A national political shift or unusually high turnout in the Republican primary could introduce modest volatility before the November general election, though historical patterns indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,623วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and the incumbent's repeated reelection margins exceeding 67 percent in recent cycles. Betty McCollum, the longtime representative and senior appropriator, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, vote, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid Democratic, underscoring the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition. A national political shift or unusually high turnout in the Republican primary could introduce modest volatility before the November general election, though historical patterns indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,623วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and the incumbent's repeated reelection margins exceeding 67 percent in recent cycles. Betty McCollum, the longtime representative and senior appropriator, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, vote, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid Democratic, underscoring the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition. A national political shift or unusually high turnout in the Republican primary could introduce modest volatility before the November general election, though historical patterns indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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