Missouri's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, remains a safe Republican seat following redistricting upheld by the state Supreme Court earlier this year, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party. Incumbent Rep. Mark Alford announced his re-election bid for the redrawn district, securing a key endorsement from the Missouri Farm Bureau PAC in March, while high-profile Democrat Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas declined to challenge. No major Democratic recruits have emerged ahead of the August 4 primaries, underscoring the GOP's structural advantages including incumbency and voter lean. Upsets could arise from a late-breaking scandal, primary turbulence, or national Democratic wave, though historical base rates for such districts favor retention.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-04 House Election Winner
MO-04 House Election Winner
$30,403 ปริมาณ
$30,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$30,403 ปริมาณ
$30,403 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,483 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$13,920 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, remains a safe Republican seat following redistricting upheld by the state Supreme Court earlier this year, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party. Incumbent Rep. Mark Alford announced his re-election bid for the redrawn district, securing a key endorsement from the Missouri Farm Bureau PAC in March, while high-profile Democrat Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas declined to challenge. No major Democratic recruits have emerged ahead of the August 4 primaries, underscoring the GOP's structural advantages including incumbency and voter lean. Upsets could arise from a late-breaking scandal, primary turbulence, or national Democratic wave, though historical base rates for such districts favor retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, remains a safe Republican seat following redistricting upheld by the state Supreme Court earlier this year, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party. Incumbent Rep. Mark Alford announced his re-election bid for the redrawn district, securing a key endorsement from the Missouri Farm Bureau PAC in March, while high-profile Democrat Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas declined to challenge. No major Democratic recruits have emerged ahead of the August 4 primaries, underscoring the GOP's structural advantages including incumbency and voter lean. Upsets could arise from a late-breaking scandal, primary turbulence, or national Democratic wave, though historical base rates for such districts favor retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,403วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, remains a safe Republican seat following redistricting upheld by the state Supreme Court earlier this year, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party. Incumbent Rep. Mark Alford announced his re-election bid for the redrawn district, securing a key endorsement from the Missouri Farm Bureau PAC in March, while high-profile Democrat Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas declined to challenge. No major Democratic recruits have emerged ahead of the August 4 primaries, underscoring the GOP's structural advantages including incumbency and voter lean. Upsets could arise from a late-breaking scandal, primary turbulence, or national Democratic wave, though historical base rates for such districts favor retention.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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