Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to limit prospects for successful impeachment or Senate conviction, despite isolated Democratic resolutions and 25th Amendment calls following April 2026 statements on Iran. No cabinet-level actions or bipartisan support have emerged to advance removal proceedings before the 2026 midterms. Traders price the outcome at low probability because historical removal thresholds remain high, midterm shifts would still leave limited time for any process to conclude, and no verified health or resignation developments have altered the baseline. The 2027 cutoff falls well before the end of the term, reinforcing the current consensus reflected in prediction market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วย้ายออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีก่อนปี 2027?
ย้ายออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีก่อนปี 2027?
ใช่
$9,075,481 ปริมาณ
$9,075,481 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
$9,075,481 ปริมาณ
$9,075,481 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to limit prospects for successful impeachment or Senate conviction, despite isolated Democratic resolutions and 25th Amendment calls following April 2026 statements on Iran. No cabinet-level actions or bipartisan support have emerged to advance removal proceedings before the 2026 midterms. Traders price the outcome at low probability because historical removal thresholds remain high, midterm shifts would still leave limited time for any process to conclude, and no verified health or resignation developments have altered the baseline. The 2027 cutoff falls well before the end of the term, reinforcing the current consensus reflected in prediction market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,075,481วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to limit prospects for successful impeachment or Senate conviction, despite isolated Democratic resolutions and 25th Amendment calls following April 2026 statements on Iran. No cabinet-level actions or bipartisan support have emerged to advance removal proceedings before the 2026 midterms. Traders price the outcome at low probability because historical removal thresholds remain high, midterm shifts would still leave limited time for any process to conclude, and no verified health or resignation developments have altered the baseline. The 2027 cutoff falls well before the end of the term, reinforcing the current consensus reflected in prediction market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,075,481วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to limit prospects for successful impeachment or Senate conviction, despite isolated Democratic resolutions and 25th Amendment calls following April 2026 statements on Iran. No cabinet-level actions or bipartisan support have emerged to advance removal proceedings before the 2026 midterms. Traders price the outcome at low probability because historical removal thresholds remain high, midterm shifts would still leave limited time for any process to conclude, and no verified health or resignation developments have altered the baseline. The 2027 cutoff falls well before the end of the term, reinforcing the current consensus reflected in prediction market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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