The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District to an unusually crowded primary field ahead of the June 2026 contests. Thirteen Republicans and eleven Democrats have filed, creating a competitive nomination process in a seat that has remained under Republican control since its establishment and delivered double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Independent forecasts classify the district as safe or likely Republican, citing its mix of rural conservative areas and historical turnout patterns that have limited Democratic gains even in open-seat scenarios. Traders view the party’s position as reflecting these structural factors, while noting that Democratic primary results and general-election turnout in Reno-area precincts could still influence the final outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNV-02 House Election Winner
NV-02 House Election Winner
$16,822 ปริมาณ
$16,822 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
27%
$16,822 ปริมาณ
$16,822 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,038 ปริมาณ
72%
Democratic Party
$5,784 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District to an unusually crowded primary field ahead of the June 2026 contests. Thirteen Republicans and eleven Democrats have filed, creating a competitive nomination process in a seat that has remained under Republican control since its establishment and delivered double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Independent forecasts classify the district as safe or likely Republican, citing its mix of rural conservative areas and historical turnout patterns that have limited Democratic gains even in open-seat scenarios. Traders view the party’s position as reflecting these structural factors, while noting that Democratic primary results and general-election turnout in Reno-area precincts could still influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,822วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District to an unusually crowded primary field ahead of the June 2026 contests. Thirteen Republicans and eleven Democrats have filed, creating a competitive nomination process in a seat that has remained under Republican control since its establishment and delivered double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Independent forecasts classify the district as safe or likely Republican, citing its mix of rural conservative areas and historical turnout patterns that have limited Democratic gains even in open-seat scenarios. Traders view the party’s position as reflecting these structural factors, while noting that Democratic primary results and general-election turnout in Reno-area precincts could still influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,822วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District to an unusually crowded primary field ahead of the June 2026 contests. Thirteen Republicans and eleven Democrats have filed, creating a competitive nomination process in a seat that has remained under Republican control since its establishment and delivered double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Independent forecasts classify the district as safe or likely Republican, citing its mix of rural conservative areas and historical turnout patterns that have limited Democratic gains even in open-seat scenarios. Traders view the party’s position as reflecting these structural factors, while noting that Democratic primary results and general-election turnout in Reno-area precincts could still influence the final outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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