Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds a clear edge in recent Alaska Survey Research and Tavern Research polls conducted in April and May 2026, leading Democratic challenger Matt Schultz by double digits in a multi-candidate field. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential voting record and the seat’s shift back to GOP control in 2024 underpin the market’s 79.5% Republican pricing. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely Republican ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and November general election under ranked-choice voting. These factors shape the current trader consensus on the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAK-AL House Election Winner
AK-AL House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,364 ปริมาณ
80%
Democratic Party
$5,218 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds a clear edge in recent Alaska Survey Research and Tavern Research polls conducted in April and May 2026, leading Democratic challenger Matt Schultz by double digits in a multi-candidate field. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential voting record and the seat’s shift back to GOP control in 2024 underpin the market’s 79.5% Republican pricing. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely Republican ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and November general election under ranked-choice voting. These factors shape the current trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,583วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds a clear edge in recent Alaska Survey Research and Tavern Research polls conducted in April and May 2026, leading Democratic challenger Matt Schultz by double digits in a multi-candidate field. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential voting record and the seat’s shift back to GOP control in 2024 underpin the market’s 79.5% Republican pricing. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely Republican ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and November general election under ranked-choice voting. These factors shape the current trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,583วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds a clear edge in recent Alaska Survey Research and Tavern Research polls conducted in April and May 2026, leading Democratic challenger Matt Schultz by double digits in a multi-candidate field. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential voting record and the seat’s shift back to GOP control in 2024 underpin the market’s 79.5% Republican pricing. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely Republican ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and November general election under ranked-choice voting. These factors shape the current trader consensus on the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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