Incumbent Rep. Jay Obernolte (R) commands 85.5% trader consensus to retain CA-23, driven by the district's R+8 partisan voter index, his consistent 60% general election margins in 2022 and 2024, and overwhelming fundraising superiority—$1.45 million cash on hand as of March versus under $50,000 for Democratic challengers Tessa Lynn Hodge and Pat Wallis. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect minimal competitiveness in this High Desert battleground. No notable developments in the past 30 days; focus remains on the June 2 top-two primary, where a fragmented Democratic field favors Obernolte advancing easily to November. Late scandals or turnout surges could shift odds, though barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-23 House Election Winner
CA-23 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,090 ปริมาณ
86%
Democratic Party
$2,338 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jay Obernolte (R) commands 85.5% trader consensus to retain CA-23, driven by the district's R+8 partisan voter index, his consistent 60% general election margins in 2022 and 2024, and overwhelming fundraising superiority—$1.45 million cash on hand as of March versus under $50,000 for Democratic challengers Tessa Lynn Hodge and Pat Wallis. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect minimal competitiveness in this High Desert battleground. No notable developments in the past 30 days; focus remains on the June 2 top-two primary, where a fragmented Democratic field favors Obernolte advancing easily to November. Late scandals or turnout surges could shift odds, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,428วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jay Obernolte (R) commands 85.5% trader consensus to retain CA-23, driven by the district's R+8 partisan voter index, his consistent 60% general election margins in 2022 and 2024, and overwhelming fundraising superiority—$1.45 million cash on hand as of March versus under $50,000 for Democratic challengers Tessa Lynn Hodge and Pat Wallis. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect minimal competitiveness in this High Desert battleground. No notable developments in the past 30 days; focus remains on the June 2 top-two primary, where a fragmented Democratic field favors Obernolte advancing easily to November. Late scandals or turnout surges could shift odds, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,428วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jay Obernolte (R) commands 85.5% trader consensus to retain CA-23, driven by the district's R+8 partisan voter index, his consistent 60% general election margins in 2022 and 2024, and overwhelming fundraising superiority—$1.45 million cash on hand as of March versus under $50,000 for Democratic challengers Tessa Lynn Hodge and Pat Wallis. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect minimal competitiveness in this High Desert battleground. No notable developments in the past 30 days; focus remains on the June 2 top-two primary, where a fragmented Democratic field favors Obernolte advancing easily to November. Late scandals or turnout surges could shift odds, though barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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