Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69% to hold Texas's 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump's 53%-45% margin there in 2024, where Republicans have won recent cycles by double digits despite close 2020 results. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned April 14 amid a staffer scandal and primary weakness, canceling the GOP runoff and advancing YouTuber Brandon Herrera unopposed after their March 3 tie; Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright. With the seat now vacant through lame-duck session, early Democratic polling like House Majority PAC's March survey shows competitiveness, but district fundamentals and GOP base turnout sustain the edge ahead of battleground dynamics in this majority-Hispanic swing district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-23 House Election Winner
TX-23 House Election Winner
$16,124 ปริมาณ
$16,124 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
28%
$16,124 ปริมาณ
$16,124 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,963 ปริมาณ
71%
Democratic Party
$7,161 ปริมาณ
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69% to hold Texas's 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump's 53%-45% margin there in 2024, where Republicans have won recent cycles by double digits despite close 2020 results. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned April 14 amid a staffer scandal and primary weakness, canceling the GOP runoff and advancing YouTuber Brandon Herrera unopposed after their March 3 tie; Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright. With the seat now vacant through lame-duck session, early Democratic polling like House Majority PAC's March survey shows competitiveness, but district fundamentals and GOP base turnout sustain the edge ahead of battleground dynamics in this majority-Hispanic swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,124วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69% to hold Texas's 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump's 53%-45% margin there in 2024, where Republicans have won recent cycles by double digits despite close 2020 results. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned April 14 amid a staffer scandal and primary weakness, canceling the GOP runoff and advancing YouTuber Brandon Herrera unopposed after their March 3 tie; Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright. With the seat now vacant through lame-duck session, early Democratic polling like House Majority PAC's March survey shows competitiveness, but district fundamentals and GOP base turnout sustain the edge ahead of battleground dynamics in this majority-Hispanic swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,124วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69% to hold Texas's 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump's 53%-45% margin there in 2024, where Republicans have won recent cycles by double digits despite close 2020 results. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned April 14 amid a staffer scandal and primary weakness, canceling the GOP runoff and advancing YouTuber Brandon Herrera unopposed after their March 3 tie; Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright. With the seat now vacant through lame-duck session, early Democratic polling like House Majority PAC's March survey shows competitiveness, but district fundamentals and GOP base turnout sustain the edge ahead of battleground dynamics in this majority-Hispanic swing district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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