The South Carolina 1st congressional district's Republican partisan voter index of R+6 and its history of GOP victories since 2020 continue to anchor trader consensus around the Republican Party at 68.5 percent implied probability. Nancy Mace's decision to seek the governorship created an open seat, drawing a competitive Republican primary field ahead of the June 9 contest and allowing Democrats to advance candidates such as Mac Deford. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal in a district that has favored GOP nominees by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Upcoming primary outcomes and general-election turnout patterns among coastal voters remain the principal variables that could adjust these probabilities before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-01 House Election Winner
SC-01 House Election Winner
$37,151 ปริมาณ
$37,151 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
30%
$37,151 ปริมาณ
$37,151 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,605 ปริมาณ
69%
Democratic Party
$30,546 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The South Carolina 1st congressional district's Republican partisan voter index of R+6 and its history of GOP victories since 2020 continue to anchor trader consensus around the Republican Party at 68.5 percent implied probability. Nancy Mace's decision to seek the governorship created an open seat, drawing a competitive Republican primary field ahead of the June 9 contest and allowing Democrats to advance candidates such as Mac Deford. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal in a district that has favored GOP nominees by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Upcoming primary outcomes and general-election turnout patterns among coastal voters remain the principal variables that could adjust these probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,151วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The South Carolina 1st congressional district's Republican partisan voter index of R+6 and its history of GOP victories since 2020 continue to anchor trader consensus around the Republican Party at 68.5 percent implied probability. Nancy Mace's decision to seek the governorship created an open seat, drawing a competitive Republican primary field ahead of the June 9 contest and allowing Democrats to advance candidates such as Mac Deford. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal in a district that has favored GOP nominees by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Upcoming primary outcomes and general-election turnout patterns among coastal voters remain the principal variables that could adjust these probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,151วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The South Carolina 1st congressional district's Republican partisan voter index of R+6 and its history of GOP victories since 2020 continue to anchor trader consensus around the Republican Party at 68.5 percent implied probability. Nancy Mace's decision to seek the governorship created an open seat, drawing a competitive Republican primary field ahead of the June 9 contest and allowing Democrats to advance candidates such as Mac Deford. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal in a district that has favored GOP nominees by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Upcoming primary outcomes and general-election turnout patterns among coastal voters remain the principal variables that could adjust these probabilities before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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