Open seat in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, an R+6 seat historically carried by Republicans by 7-17 points in recent cycles, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 71% implied probability, despite Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid. A crowded GOP primary field of 12 candidates, including former Gov. Mark Sanford who filed March 30, held a forum April 16 where Mark Smith led a straw poll at 34%, signaling an engaged but fragmented contest ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democrats, with eight primary entrants and DCCC targeting as "in play" since February, hold 27% on fundraising and coastal battleground potential, though no public polling exists and historical midterm dynamics bolster GOP retention odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-01 House Election Winner
SC-01 House Election Winner
$34,901 ปริมาณ
$34,901 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
27%
$34,901 ปริมาณ
$34,901 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,133 ปริมาณ
71%
Democratic Party
$28,768 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Open seat in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, an R+6 seat historically carried by Republicans by 7-17 points in recent cycles, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 71% implied probability, despite Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid. A crowded GOP primary field of 12 candidates, including former Gov. Mark Sanford who filed March 30, held a forum April 16 where Mark Smith led a straw poll at 34%, signaling an engaged but fragmented contest ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democrats, with eight primary entrants and DCCC targeting as "in play" since February, hold 27% on fundraising and coastal battleground potential, though no public polling exists and historical midterm dynamics bolster GOP retention odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,901วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Open seat in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, an R+6 seat historically carried by Republicans by 7-17 points in recent cycles, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 71% implied probability, despite Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid. A crowded GOP primary field of 12 candidates, including former Gov. Mark Sanford who filed March 30, held a forum April 16 where Mark Smith led a straw poll at 34%, signaling an engaged but fragmented contest ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democrats, with eight primary entrants and DCCC targeting as "in play" since February, hold 27% on fundraising and coastal battleground potential, though no public polling exists and historical midterm dynamics bolster GOP retention odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,901วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Open seat in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, an R+6 seat historically carried by Republicans by 7-17 points in recent cycles, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 71% implied probability, despite Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid. A crowded GOP primary field of 12 candidates, including former Gov. Mark Sanford who filed March 30, held a forum April 16 where Mark Smith led a straw poll at 34%, signaling an engaged but fragmented contest ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democrats, with eight primary entrants and DCCC targeting as "in play" since February, hold 27% on fundraising and coastal battleground potential, though no public polling exists and historical midterm dynamics bolster GOP retention odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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