Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' announcement for reelection in February 2026, combined with new congressional maps enacted after Proposition 50's passage in November 2025 and Supreme Court approval in February, have solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner in California's 50th District House race. The redistricting shifted boundaries to favor Democrats in this San Diego-area battleground, building on Peters' comfortable 2024 victory over Republican Peter Bono and the district's D+5 lean per recent ratings. Recent candidate filings, including primary challengers like Sparky Mitra, have not disrupted this positioning ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. While commanding, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Peters scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-50 House Election Winner
CA-50 House Election Winner
$32,307 ปริมาณ
$32,307 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$32,307 ปริมาณ
$32,307 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,419 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$14,888 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' announcement for reelection in February 2026, combined with new congressional maps enacted after Proposition 50's passage in November 2025 and Supreme Court approval in February, have solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner in California's 50th District House race. The redistricting shifted boundaries to favor Democrats in this San Diego-area battleground, building on Peters' comfortable 2024 victory over Republican Peter Bono and the district's D+5 lean per recent ratings. Recent candidate filings, including primary challengers like Sparky Mitra, have not disrupted this positioning ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. While commanding, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Peters scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,307วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' announcement for reelection in February 2026, combined with new congressional maps enacted after Proposition 50's passage in November 2025 and Supreme Court approval in February, have solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner in California's 50th District House race. The redistricting shifted boundaries to favor Democrats in this San Diego-area battleground, building on Peters' comfortable 2024 victory over Republican Peter Bono and the district's D+5 lean per recent ratings. Recent candidate filings, including primary challengers like Sparky Mitra, have not disrupted this positioning ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. While commanding, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Peters scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,307วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' announcement for reelection in February 2026, combined with new congressional maps enacted after Proposition 50's passage in November 2025 and Supreme Court approval in February, have solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner in California's 50th District House race. The redistricting shifted boundaries to favor Democrats in this San Diego-area battleground, building on Peters' comfortable 2024 victory over Republican Peter Bono and the district's D+5 lean per recent ratings. Recent candidate filings, including primary challengers like Sparky Mitra, have not disrupted this positioning ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. While commanding, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Peters scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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