Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election following the June 2 top-two primary. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal Peters with over $2.5 million cash on hand, dwarfing challengers like Republican Steve Cohen, who announced his bid in mid-March but reports negligible funds. The district's D+16 Cook PVI and Peters' prior wins (64% in 2024, 63% in 2022) under post-Proposition 50 redistricting solidify its safe Democratic rating across forecasters. Upsets could stem from a GOP fundraising surge, Peters scandal, or national Republican midterm wave sending a strong Republican to the general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-50 House Election Winner
CA-50 House Election Winner
$20,095 ปริมาณ
$20,095 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$20,095 ปริมาณ
$20,095 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,141 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$4,954 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election following the June 2 top-two primary. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal Peters with over $2.5 million cash on hand, dwarfing challengers like Republican Steve Cohen, who announced his bid in mid-March but reports negligible funds. The district's D+16 Cook PVI and Peters' prior wins (64% in 2024, 63% in 2022) under post-Proposition 50 redistricting solidify its safe Democratic rating across forecasters. Upsets could stem from a GOP fundraising surge, Peters scandal, or national Republican midterm wave sending a strong Republican to the general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,095วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election following the June 2 top-two primary. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal Peters with over $2.5 million cash on hand, dwarfing challengers like Republican Steve Cohen, who announced his bid in mid-March but reports negligible funds. The district's D+16 Cook PVI and Peters' prior wins (64% in 2024, 63% in 2022) under post-Proposition 50 redistricting solidify its safe Democratic rating across forecasters. Upsets could stem from a GOP fundraising surge, Peters scandal, or national Republican midterm wave sending a strong Republican to the general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,095วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to 93% implied probability for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election following the June 2 top-two primary. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal Peters with over $2.5 million cash on hand, dwarfing challengers like Republican Steve Cohen, who announced his bid in mid-March but reports negligible funds. The district's D+16 Cook PVI and Peters' prior wins (64% in 2024, 63% in 2022) under post-Proposition 50 redistricting solidify its safe Democratic rating across forecasters. Upsets could stem from a GOP fundraising surge, Peters scandal, or national Republican midterm wave sending a strong Republican to the general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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