Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle maintains a strong hold on Oregon’s 4th Congressional District ahead of the 2026 election, backed by its D+6 partisan voter index and consistent solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The May 19 primary, where Hoyle faces limited challengers alongside substantial union support and nearly $1 million in campaign funds, reinforces her position. Republican contenders, including repeat candidate Monique DeSpain, have seen little national party investment in this district that stretches from the coast to southern Oregon. Current trader consensus at 90.5 percent for a Democratic win reflects these structural factors and the absence of credible threats. Late primary results or shifts in national political dynamics before the November 3 general election could still introduce modest uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-04 House Election Winner
OR-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,146 ปริมาณ
91%
Republican Party
$92 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle maintains a strong hold on Oregon’s 4th Congressional District ahead of the 2026 election, backed by its D+6 partisan voter index and consistent solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The May 19 primary, where Hoyle faces limited challengers alongside substantial union support and nearly $1 million in campaign funds, reinforces her position. Republican contenders, including repeat candidate Monique DeSpain, have seen little national party investment in this district that stretches from the coast to southern Oregon. Current trader consensus at 90.5 percent for a Democratic win reflects these structural factors and the absence of credible threats. Late primary results or shifts in national political dynamics before the November 3 general election could still introduce modest uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,239วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle maintains a strong hold on Oregon’s 4th Congressional District ahead of the 2026 election, backed by its D+6 partisan voter index and consistent solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The May 19 primary, where Hoyle faces limited challengers alongside substantial union support and nearly $1 million in campaign funds, reinforces her position. Republican contenders, including repeat candidate Monique DeSpain, have seen little national party investment in this district that stretches from the coast to southern Oregon. Current trader consensus at 90.5 percent for a Democratic win reflects these structural factors and the absence of credible threats. Late primary results or shifts in national political dynamics before the November 3 general election could still introduce modest uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,239วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle maintains a strong hold on Oregon’s 4th Congressional District ahead of the 2026 election, backed by its D+6 partisan voter index and consistent solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The May 19 primary, where Hoyle faces limited challengers alongside substantial union support and nearly $1 million in campaign funds, reinforces her position. Republican contenders, including repeat candidate Monique DeSpain, have seen little national party investment in this district that stretches from the coast to southern Oregon. Current trader consensus at 90.5 percent for a Democratic win reflects these structural factors and the absence of credible threats. Late primary results or shifts in national political dynamics before the November 3 general election could still introduce modest uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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