Incumbent Rep. Jason Crow (D), a decorated Army veteran holding Colorado's 6th Congressional District since flipping it in 2018, drives trader consensus toward a 93% implied probability of Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. The left-trending suburban Aurora district rates Safe Democratic with a D+11 partisan voter index, where Crow won 59% in 2024 amid weak Republican opposition. Recent filings show Crow facing minor Democratic primary challengers Travis Dishon and Dylan Shelby on June 30, while Republicans have only Khaleb Dammen entered; Crow's Q4 2025 fundraising exceeded $750,000 despite brief gubernatorial speculation he dismissed. Scenarios challenging this include Crow's unexpected retirement, a major scandal, high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, or national Republican midterm wave boosting suburban turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCO-06 House Election Winner
CO-06 House Election Winner
$16,818 ปริมาณ
$16,818 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$16,818 ปริมาณ
$16,818 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,913 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$7,905 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jason Crow (D), a decorated Army veteran holding Colorado's 6th Congressional District since flipping it in 2018, drives trader consensus toward a 93% implied probability of Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. The left-trending suburban Aurora district rates Safe Democratic with a D+11 partisan voter index, where Crow won 59% in 2024 amid weak Republican opposition. Recent filings show Crow facing minor Democratic primary challengers Travis Dishon and Dylan Shelby on June 30, while Republicans have only Khaleb Dammen entered; Crow's Q4 2025 fundraising exceeded $750,000 despite brief gubernatorial speculation he dismissed. Scenarios challenging this include Crow's unexpected retirement, a major scandal, high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, or national Republican midterm wave boosting suburban turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,818วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jason Crow (D), a decorated Army veteran holding Colorado's 6th Congressional District since flipping it in 2018, drives trader consensus toward a 93% implied probability of Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. The left-trending suburban Aurora district rates Safe Democratic with a D+11 partisan voter index, where Crow won 59% in 2024 amid weak Republican opposition. Recent filings show Crow facing minor Democratic primary challengers Travis Dishon and Dylan Shelby on June 30, while Republicans have only Khaleb Dammen entered; Crow's Q4 2025 fundraising exceeded $750,000 despite brief gubernatorial speculation he dismissed. Scenarios challenging this include Crow's unexpected retirement, a major scandal, high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, or national Republican midterm wave boosting suburban turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,818วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jason Crow (D), a decorated Army veteran holding Colorado's 6th Congressional District since flipping it in 2018, drives trader consensus toward a 93% implied probability of Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. The left-trending suburban Aurora district rates Safe Democratic with a D+11 partisan voter index, where Crow won 59% in 2024 amid weak Republican opposition. Recent filings show Crow facing minor Democratic primary challengers Travis Dishon and Dylan Shelby on June 30, while Republicans have only Khaleb Dammen entered; Crow's Q4 2025 fundraising exceeded $750,000 despite brief gubernatorial speculation he dismissed. Scenarios challenging this include Crow's unexpected retirement, a major scandal, high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, or national Republican midterm wave boosting suburban turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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