Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore has represented the Milwaukee-area district for more than two decades and secured reelection with roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. The district's partisan voter index of D+26 and consistent historical margins reinforce this positioning ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Recent filings show limited Republican opposition and a handful of Democratic primary challengers, none of whom have shifted the race rating from "Solid Democratic" per major forecasters. While late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically alter the outcome, the combination of incumbency advantage, fundraising edge, and district demographics has kept the race non-competitive in recent cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-04 House Election Winner
WI-04 House Election Winner
$19,230 ปริมาณ
$19,230 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$19,230 ปริมาณ
$19,230 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,971 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$13,259 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore has represented the Milwaukee-area district for more than two decades and secured reelection with roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. The district's partisan voter index of D+26 and consistent historical margins reinforce this positioning ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Recent filings show limited Republican opposition and a handful of Democratic primary challengers, none of whom have shifted the race rating from "Solid Democratic" per major forecasters. While late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically alter the outcome, the combination of incumbency advantage, fundraising edge, and district demographics has kept the race non-competitive in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,230วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore has represented the Milwaukee-area district for more than two decades and secured reelection with roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. The district's partisan voter index of D+26 and consistent historical margins reinforce this positioning ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Recent filings show limited Republican opposition and a handful of Democratic primary challengers, none of whom have shifted the race rating from "Solid Democratic" per major forecasters. While late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically alter the outcome, the combination of incumbency advantage, fundraising edge, and district demographics has kept the race non-competitive in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,230วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore has represented the Milwaukee-area district for more than two decades and secured reelection with roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. The district's partisan voter index of D+26 and consistent historical margins reinforce this positioning ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Recent filings show limited Republican opposition and a handful of Democratic primary challengers, none of whom have shifted the race rating from "Solid Democratic" per major forecasters. While late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically alter the outcome, the combination of incumbency advantage, fundraising edge, and district demographics has kept the race non-competitive in recent cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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