**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% for Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore's two-decade stronghold in this safely Democratic urban Milwaukee district, where she announced her 2026 reelection bid in January amid minimal Republican opposition.** Recent Democratic sweeps in the April 7 spring elections, including a liberal landslide in the Wisconsin Supreme Court race and strong local showings, have reinforced party momentum heading into August 11 primaries and the November 3 general election. With no high-profile GOP challenger emerging by the June filing deadline and historical margins exceeding 50 points, odds reflect low upset risk. Scenarios like a major Moore scandal, health event, or national Republican wave could shift probabilities, though structural district demographics pose significant barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-04 House Election Winner
WI-04 House Election Winner
$15,486 ปริมาณ
$15,486 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$15,486 ปริมาณ
$15,486 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,837 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$10,649 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% for Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore's two-decade stronghold in this safely Democratic urban Milwaukee district, where she announced her 2026 reelection bid in January amid minimal Republican opposition.** Recent Democratic sweeps in the April 7 spring elections, including a liberal landslide in the Wisconsin Supreme Court race and strong local showings, have reinforced party momentum heading into August 11 primaries and the November 3 general election. With no high-profile GOP challenger emerging by the June filing deadline and historical margins exceeding 50 points, odds reflect low upset risk. Scenarios like a major Moore scandal, health event, or national Republican wave could shift probabilities, though structural district demographics pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,486วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% for Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore's two-decade stronghold in this safely Democratic urban Milwaukee district, where she announced her 2026 reelection bid in January amid minimal Republican opposition.** Recent Democratic sweeps in the April 7 spring elections, including a liberal landslide in the Wisconsin Supreme Court race and strong local showings, have reinforced party momentum heading into August 11 primaries and the November 3 general election. With no high-profile GOP challenger emerging by the June filing deadline and historical margins exceeding 50 points, odds reflect low upset risk. Scenarios like a major Moore scandal, health event, or national Republican wave could shift probabilities, though structural district demographics pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,486วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% for Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore's two-decade stronghold in this safely Democratic urban Milwaukee district, where she announced her 2026 reelection bid in January amid minimal Republican opposition.** Recent Democratic sweeps in the April 7 spring elections, including a liberal landslide in the Wisconsin Supreme Court race and strong local showings, have reinforced party momentum heading into August 11 primaries and the November 3 general election. With no high-profile GOP challenger emerging by the June filing deadline and historical margins exceeding 50 points, odds reflect low upset risk. Scenarios like a major Moore scandal, health event, or national Republican wave could shift probabilities, though structural district demographics pose significant barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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