South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 70 percent for the party in recent cycles. The open contest, created after longtime incumbent Dusty Johnson announced a gubernatorial bid, features Republican primary frontrunner Marty Jackley holding a wide lead in April polling over challenger James Bialota, while Democrat Nicole Gronli appears positioned to advance from her party’s June 2 primary. These structural advantages and candidate positioning sustain trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome on November 3. Meaningful shifts would require an unforeseen Republican scandal, a pronounced national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout that narrows the historical margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$16,931 ปริมาณ
$16,931 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$16,931 ปริมาณ
$16,931 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,474 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$7,457 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 70 percent for the party in recent cycles. The open contest, created after longtime incumbent Dusty Johnson announced a gubernatorial bid, features Republican primary frontrunner Marty Jackley holding a wide lead in April polling over challenger James Bialota, while Democrat Nicole Gronli appears positioned to advance from her party’s June 2 primary. These structural advantages and candidate positioning sustain trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome on November 3. Meaningful shifts would require an unforeseen Republican scandal, a pronounced national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout that narrows the historical margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,931วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 70 percent for the party in recent cycles. The open contest, created after longtime incumbent Dusty Johnson announced a gubernatorial bid, features Republican primary frontrunner Marty Jackley holding a wide lead in April polling over challenger James Bialota, while Democrat Nicole Gronli appears positioned to advance from her party’s June 2 primary. These structural advantages and candidate positioning sustain trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome on November 3. Meaningful shifts would require an unforeseen Republican scandal, a pronounced national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout that narrows the historical margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,931วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 70 percent for the party in recent cycles. The open contest, created after longtime incumbent Dusty Johnson announced a gubernatorial bid, features Republican primary frontrunner Marty Jackley holding a wide lead in April polling over challenger James Bialota, while Democrat Nicole Gronli appears positioned to advance from her party’s June 2 primary. These structural advantages and candidate positioning sustain trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome on November 3. Meaningful shifts would require an unforeseen Republican scandal, a pronounced national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout that narrows the historical margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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