Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% implied probability for TX-21's House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and historical GOP dominance in this ruby-red area spanning Hill Country and San Antonio suburbs. Incumbent Chip Roy vacated for an Attorney General bid, but former MLB star Mark Teixeira—Trump-backed and a World Series champion—cruised to the GOP nomination with 61% in the March 3 primary, bolstering perceptions of nominee strength amid high primary turnout. Democrat Kristin Hook advances unopposed post-primary, but lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising edge per recent FEC reports. No polls or catalysts in the past 30 days have emerged to challenge the baseline; focus shifts to November 3 general election dynamics and national midterm trends testing GOP's slim House majority.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-21 House Election Winner
TX-21 House Election Winner
$30,694 ปริมาณ
$30,694 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
15%
$30,694 ปริมาณ
$30,694 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,527 ปริมาณ
81%
Democratic Party
$13,167 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% implied probability for TX-21's House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and historical GOP dominance in this ruby-red area spanning Hill Country and San Antonio suburbs. Incumbent Chip Roy vacated for an Attorney General bid, but former MLB star Mark Teixeira—Trump-backed and a World Series champion—cruised to the GOP nomination with 61% in the March 3 primary, bolstering perceptions of nominee strength amid high primary turnout. Democrat Kristin Hook advances unopposed post-primary, but lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising edge per recent FEC reports. No polls or catalysts in the past 30 days have emerged to challenge the baseline; focus shifts to November 3 general election dynamics and national midterm trends testing GOP's slim House majority.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,694วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% implied probability for TX-21's House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and historical GOP dominance in this ruby-red area spanning Hill Country and San Antonio suburbs. Incumbent Chip Roy vacated for an Attorney General bid, but former MLB star Mark Teixeira—Trump-backed and a World Series champion—cruised to the GOP nomination with 61% in the March 3 primary, bolstering perceptions of nominee strength amid high primary turnout. Democrat Kristin Hook advances unopposed post-primary, but lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising edge per recent FEC reports. No polls or catalysts in the past 30 days have emerged to challenge the baseline; focus shifts to November 3 general election dynamics and national midterm trends testing GOP's slim House majority.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,694วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% implied probability for TX-21's House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and historical GOP dominance in this ruby-red area spanning Hill Country and San Antonio suburbs. Incumbent Chip Roy vacated for an Attorney General bid, but former MLB star Mark Teixeira—Trump-backed and a World Series champion—cruised to the GOP nomination with 61% in the March 3 primary, bolstering perceptions of nominee strength amid high primary turnout. Democrat Kristin Hook advances unopposed post-primary, but lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising edge per recent FEC reports. No polls or catalysts in the past 30 days have emerged to challenge the baseline; focus shifts to November 3 general election dynamics and national midterm trends testing GOP's slim House majority.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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