Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes' entrenched position in Connecticut's solidly Democratic 4th Congressional District, rated D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus implying a 92.5% probability of a Democratic House winner. Himes, who captured 61% of the vote in 2024 with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of late March, faces a long-shot Democratic primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo, while Republicans field Luz Bueno, Michael Goldstein, and Daniel Miressi in their primary amid minimal fundraising. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the June 9 filing deadline and August 11 primaries as next catalysts. A commanding lead persists barring a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$25,842 ปริมาณ
$25,842 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
5%
$25,842 ปริมาณ
$25,842 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,362 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$12,480 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes' entrenched position in Connecticut's solidly Democratic 4th Congressional District, rated D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus implying a 92.5% probability of a Democratic House winner. Himes, who captured 61% of the vote in 2024 with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of late March, faces a long-shot Democratic primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo, while Republicans field Luz Bueno, Michael Goldstein, and Daniel Miressi in their primary amid minimal fundraising. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the June 9 filing deadline and August 11 primaries as next catalysts. A commanding lead persists barring a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,842วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes' entrenched position in Connecticut's solidly Democratic 4th Congressional District, rated D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus implying a 92.5% probability of a Democratic House winner. Himes, who captured 61% of the vote in 2024 with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of late March, faces a long-shot Democratic primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo, while Republicans field Luz Bueno, Michael Goldstein, and Daniel Miressi in their primary amid minimal fundraising. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the June 9 filing deadline and August 11 primaries as next catalysts. A commanding lead persists barring a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,842วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes' entrenched position in Connecticut's solidly Democratic 4th Congressional District, rated D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus implying a 92.5% probability of a Democratic House winner. Himes, who captured 61% of the vote in 2024 with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of late March, faces a long-shot Democratic primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo, while Republicans field Luz Bueno, Michael Goldstein, and Daniel Miressi in their primary amid minimal fundraising. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the June 9 filing deadline and August 11 primaries as next catalysts. A commanding lead persists barring a primary upset, scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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