Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory. The seat’s partisan voting index exceeds D+13, and Himes won re-election in 2024 by double digits in a district encompassing Bridgeport, Stamford, and Greenwich. Democratic primary challengers have not emerged as credible threats, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have held through the current cycle. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, a national political realignment of historic scale, or an unusually strong Republican primary performance capable of broadening the general-election contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$32,367 ปริมาณ
$32,367 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$32,367 ปริมาณ
$32,367 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,042 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$18,325 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory. The seat’s partisan voting index exceeds D+13, and Himes won re-election in 2024 by double digits in a district encompassing Bridgeport, Stamford, and Greenwich. Democratic primary challengers have not emerged as credible threats, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have held through the current cycle. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, a national political realignment of historic scale, or an unusually strong Republican primary performance capable of broadening the general-election contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,367วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory. The seat’s partisan voting index exceeds D+13, and Himes won re-election in 2024 by double digits in a district encompassing Bridgeport, Stamford, and Greenwich. Democratic primary challengers have not emerged as credible threats, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have held through the current cycle. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, a national political realignment of historic scale, or an unusually strong Republican primary performance capable of broadening the general-election contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,367วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory. The seat’s partisan voting index exceeds D+13, and Himes won re-election in 2024 by double digits in a district encompassing Bridgeport, Stamford, and Greenwich. Democratic primary challengers have not emerged as credible threats, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have held through the current cycle. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, a national political realignment of historic scale, or an unusually strong Republican primary performance capable of broadening the general-election contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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