Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following Rep. Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate race, leaving the Tulsa-area district without an incumbent for the November 3 general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the June 16 primary, including state officials and business leaders, with endorsements from groups such as the Club for Growth already shaping the field. The lone Democratic nominee, Tulsa school board member John Croisant, faces a district rated R+11 or stronger by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the seat’s long-standing partisan voting index and historical election margins. Traders assign an 87 percent probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the structural advantages of the open seat in a district where GOP nominees have routinely prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. No major shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOK-01 House Election Winner
OK-01 House Election Winner
$11,853 ปริมาณ
$11,853 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$11,853 ปริมาณ
$11,853 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,313 ปริมาณ
87%
Democratic Party
$5,540 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following Rep. Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate race, leaving the Tulsa-area district without an incumbent for the November 3 general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the June 16 primary, including state officials and business leaders, with endorsements from groups such as the Club for Growth already shaping the field. The lone Democratic nominee, Tulsa school board member John Croisant, faces a district rated R+11 or stronger by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the seat’s long-standing partisan voting index and historical election margins. Traders assign an 87 percent probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the structural advantages of the open seat in a district where GOP nominees have routinely prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. No major shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,853วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following Rep. Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate race, leaving the Tulsa-area district without an incumbent for the November 3 general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the June 16 primary, including state officials and business leaders, with endorsements from groups such as the Club for Growth already shaping the field. The lone Democratic nominee, Tulsa school board member John Croisant, faces a district rated R+11 or stronger by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the seat’s long-standing partisan voting index and historical election margins. Traders assign an 87 percent probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the structural advantages of the open seat in a district where GOP nominees have routinely prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. No major shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,853วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following Rep. Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate race, leaving the Tulsa-area district without an incumbent for the November 3 general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the June 16 primary, including state officials and business leaders, with endorsements from groups such as the Club for Growth already shaping the field. The lone Democratic nominee, Tulsa school board member John Croisant, faces a district rated R+11 or stronger by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the seat’s long-standing partisan voting index and historical election margins. Traders assign an 87 percent probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the structural advantages of the open seat in a district where GOP nominees have routinely prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. No major shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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