Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's commanding position in California's 18th Congressional District, a D+16 Silicon Valley seat, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. Her 30-year tenure, 65% victory margins in recent cycles, and $580,000 cash-on-hand as of March 31—bolstered by $231,000 raised in Q1 per April 15 FEC filings—dwarf challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Republican field, featuring only underfunded Shane Lewis after Zakaria Kortam's withdrawal, fragments opposition and ensures Lofgren advances easily. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise knocking her out, GOP recruitment of a heavyweight, or scandal, though forecasters rate it Solid Democratic.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-18 House Election Winner
CA-18 House Election Winner
$31,023 ปริมาณ
$31,023 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$31,023 ปริมาณ
$31,023 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,161 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$14,862 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's commanding position in California's 18th Congressional District, a D+16 Silicon Valley seat, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. Her 30-year tenure, 65% victory margins in recent cycles, and $580,000 cash-on-hand as of March 31—bolstered by $231,000 raised in Q1 per April 15 FEC filings—dwarf challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Republican field, featuring only underfunded Shane Lewis after Zakaria Kortam's withdrawal, fragments opposition and ensures Lofgren advances easily. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise knocking her out, GOP recruitment of a heavyweight, or scandal, though forecasters rate it Solid Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,023วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's commanding position in California's 18th Congressional District, a D+16 Silicon Valley seat, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. Her 30-year tenure, 65% victory margins in recent cycles, and $580,000 cash-on-hand as of March 31—bolstered by $231,000 raised in Q1 per April 15 FEC filings—dwarf challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Republican field, featuring only underfunded Shane Lewis after Zakaria Kortam's withdrawal, fragments opposition and ensures Lofgren advances easily. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise knocking her out, GOP recruitment of a heavyweight, or scandal, though forecasters rate it Solid Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,023วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's commanding position in California's 18th Congressional District, a D+16 Silicon Valley seat, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. Her 30-year tenure, 65% victory margins in recent cycles, and $580,000 cash-on-hand as of March 31—bolstered by $231,000 raised in Q1 per April 15 FEC filings—dwarf challengers ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Republican field, featuring only underfunded Shane Lewis after Zakaria Kortam's withdrawal, fragments opposition and ensures Lofgren advances easily. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise knocking her out, GOP recruitment of a heavyweight, or scandal, though forecasters rate it Solid Democratic.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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