The heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 18th congressional district continues to anchor trader expectations for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election, reinforced by Christian Menefee's January 2026 special election runoff win and the party's consistent dominance in Houston-area voting patterns. Mid-decade redistricting has introduced Al Green into the district, producing a competitive Democratic primary runoff on May 26 between Menefee and the longtime incumbent, yet this intra-party contest does not alter the seat's structural lean. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield faces the same steep path-to-victory challenges seen in prior cycles, with limited crossover appeal or turnout advantages in the core urban precincts. No major polling shifts or external events have emerged in recent weeks to narrow the gap, leaving the implied probability aligned with historical base rates for this safely Democratic district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-18 House Election Winner
TX-18 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 ปริมาณ
78%
Republican Party
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 18th congressional district continues to anchor trader expectations for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election, reinforced by Christian Menefee's January 2026 special election runoff win and the party's consistent dominance in Houston-area voting patterns. Mid-decade redistricting has introduced Al Green into the district, producing a competitive Democratic primary runoff on May 26 between Menefee and the longtime incumbent, yet this intra-party contest does not alter the seat's structural lean. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield faces the same steep path-to-victory challenges seen in prior cycles, with limited crossover appeal or turnout advantages in the core urban precincts. No major polling shifts or external events have emerged in recent weeks to narrow the gap, leaving the implied probability aligned with historical base rates for this safely Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 18th congressional district continues to anchor trader expectations for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election, reinforced by Christian Menefee's January 2026 special election runoff win and the party's consistent dominance in Houston-area voting patterns. Mid-decade redistricting has introduced Al Green into the district, producing a competitive Democratic primary runoff on May 26 between Menefee and the longtime incumbent, yet this intra-party contest does not alter the seat's structural lean. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield faces the same steep path-to-victory challenges seen in prior cycles, with limited crossover appeal or turnout advantages in the core urban precincts. No major polling shifts or external events have emerged in recent weeks to narrow the gap, leaving the implied probability aligned with historical base rates for this safely Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of Texas's 18th congressional district continues to anchor trader expectations for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election, reinforced by Christian Menefee's January 2026 special election runoff win and the party's consistent dominance in Houston-area voting patterns. Mid-decade redistricting has introduced Al Green into the district, producing a competitive Democratic primary runoff on May 26 between Menefee and the longtime incumbent, yet this intra-party contest does not alter the seat's structural lean. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield faces the same steep path-to-victory challenges seen in prior cycles, with limited crossover appeal or turnout advantages in the core urban precincts. No major polling shifts or external events have emerged in recent weeks to narrow the gap, leaving the implied probability aligned with historical base rates for this safely Democratic district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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