Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán faces only token opposition from Republican Genevieve Angel in California's 44th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to its strong partisan lean and Barragán's prior 71-point general election margin. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in the political environment. The June 2 top-two primary is the next procedural step, but historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts limit the chance of an upset. Unforeseen developments such as major candidate scandals, significant health events, or unusually high turnout among one party could still alter the outcome before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-44 House Election Winner
CA-44 House Election Winner
$21,535 ปริมาณ
$21,535 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$21,535 ปริมาณ
$21,535 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,354 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$8,181 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán faces only token opposition from Republican Genevieve Angel in California's 44th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to its strong partisan lean and Barragán's prior 71-point general election margin. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in the political environment. The June 2 top-two primary is the next procedural step, but historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts limit the chance of an upset. Unforeseen developments such as major candidate scandals, significant health events, or unusually high turnout among one party could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,535วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán faces only token opposition from Republican Genevieve Angel in California's 44th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to its strong partisan lean and Barragán's prior 71-point general election margin. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in the political environment. The June 2 top-two primary is the next procedural step, but historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts limit the chance of an upset. Unforeseen developments such as major candidate scandals, significant health events, or unusually high turnout among one party could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,535วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán faces only token opposition from Republican Genevieve Angel in California's 44th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to its strong partisan lean and Barragán's prior 71-point general election margin. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in the political environment. The June 2 top-two primary is the next procedural step, but historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts limit the chance of an upset. Unforeseen developments such as major candidate scandals, significant health events, or unusually high turnout among one party could still alter the outcome before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย