Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% stems from CA-44's status as a solidly Democratic stronghold in Los Angeles County's diverse Harbor area, where she has secured reelection since 2017 with wide margins amid a partisan voter index heavily favoring Democrats. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with her recent endorsement from the Congressional Hispanic Caucus' Bold PAC bolstering incumbency advantages ahead of California's top-two primary on June 2. Republican chances at 4.5% reflect historical underperformance in the district; realistic challenges would require a late scandal, health issue for Barragán, or unprecedented GOP turnout in the November midterm general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-44 House Election Winner
CA-44 House Election Winner
$15,460 ปริมาณ
$15,460 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$15,460 ปริมาณ
$15,460 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,446 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$6,014 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% stems from CA-44's status as a solidly Democratic stronghold in Los Angeles County's diverse Harbor area, where she has secured reelection since 2017 with wide margins amid a partisan voter index heavily favoring Democrats. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with her recent endorsement from the Congressional Hispanic Caucus' Bold PAC bolstering incumbency advantages ahead of California's top-two primary on June 2. Republican chances at 4.5% reflect historical underperformance in the district; realistic challenges would require a late scandal, health issue for Barragán, or unprecedented GOP turnout in the November midterm general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,460วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% stems from CA-44's status as a solidly Democratic stronghold in Los Angeles County's diverse Harbor area, where she has secured reelection since 2017 with wide margins amid a partisan voter index heavily favoring Democrats. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with her recent endorsement from the Congressional Hispanic Caucus' Bold PAC bolstering incumbency advantages ahead of California's top-two primary on June 2. Republican chances at 4.5% reflect historical underperformance in the district; realistic challenges would require a late scandal, health issue for Barragán, or unprecedented GOP turnout in the November midterm general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,460วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% stems from CA-44's status as a solidly Democratic stronghold in Los Angeles County's diverse Harbor area, where she has secured reelection since 2017 with wide margins amid a partisan voter index heavily favoring Democrats. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, with her recent endorsement from the Congressional Hispanic Caucus' Bold PAC bolstering incumbency advantages ahead of California's top-two primary on June 2. Republican chances at 4.5% reflect historical underperformance in the district; realistic challenges would require a late scandal, health issue for Barragán, or unprecedented GOP turnout in the November midterm general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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