Incumbent Rep. Dave Min (D) holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November 3, 2026, general election. Post-2025 redistricting via Proposition 50 shifted the Orange County district leftward to a D+6 Cook PVI, with Kamala Harris winning by 10 points in 2024, bolstering Min's narrow 2024 victory (51%-49%) into a Solid Democratic rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Min's $3 million fundraising edge dwarfs rivals ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where a fragmented Republican field—featuring William Brough, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and others—likely advances a weaker challenger. Realistic shifts could stem from a primary upset sidelining Min, a personal scandal, health issue, or robust national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$811 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$109 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Dave Min (D) holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November 3, 2026, general election. Post-2025 redistricting via Proposition 50 shifted the Orange County district leftward to a D+6 Cook PVI, with Kamala Harris winning by 10 points in 2024, bolstering Min's narrow 2024 victory (51%-49%) into a Solid Democratic rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Min's $3 million fundraising edge dwarfs rivals ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where a fragmented Republican field—featuring William Brough, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and others—likely advances a weaker challenger. Realistic shifts could stem from a primary upset sidelining Min, a personal scandal, health issue, or robust national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$921วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Dave Min (D) holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November 3, 2026, general election. Post-2025 redistricting via Proposition 50 shifted the Orange County district leftward to a D+6 Cook PVI, with Kamala Harris winning by 10 points in 2024, bolstering Min's narrow 2024 victory (51%-49%) into a Solid Democratic rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Min's $3 million fundraising edge dwarfs rivals ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where a fragmented Republican field—featuring William Brough, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and others—likely advances a weaker challenger. Realistic shifts could stem from a primary upset sidelining Min, a personal scandal, health issue, or robust national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$921วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Dave Min (D) holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November 3, 2026, general election. Post-2025 redistricting via Proposition 50 shifted the Orange County district leftward to a D+6 Cook PVI, with Kamala Harris winning by 10 points in 2024, bolstering Min's narrow 2024 victory (51%-49%) into a Solid Democratic rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Min's $3 million fundraising edge dwarfs rivals ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where a fragmented Republican field—featuring William Brough, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and others—likely advances a weaker challenger. Realistic shifts could stem from a primary upset sidelining Min, a personal scandal, health issue, or robust national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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