Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 93% in the open CA-38 House race due to the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting a D+12 partisan lean from 2024 presidential results where Kamala Harris won 54.5%-42.2%. Former Rep. Hilda Solis leads the June 2 top-two primary field with $740,000 raised and endorsements from Nancy Pelosi, Adam Schiff, and labor unions like SEIU California, far outpacing rivals Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz, while lone Republican Pedro Casas shows no fundraising. Likely top-two features two Democrats, cementing the hold; upset scenarios include a Casas primary advance via Democratic vote split or pre-November scandals derailing frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$57,297 ปริมาณ
$57,297 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$57,297 ปริมาณ
$57,297 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,855 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$28,442 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 93% in the open CA-38 House race due to the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting a D+12 partisan lean from 2024 presidential results where Kamala Harris won 54.5%-42.2%. Former Rep. Hilda Solis leads the June 2 top-two primary field with $740,000 raised and endorsements from Nancy Pelosi, Adam Schiff, and labor unions like SEIU California, far outpacing rivals Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz, while lone Republican Pedro Casas shows no fundraising. Likely top-two features two Democrats, cementing the hold; upset scenarios include a Casas primary advance via Democratic vote split or pre-November scandals derailing frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,297วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 93% in the open CA-38 House race due to the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting a D+12 partisan lean from 2024 presidential results where Kamala Harris won 54.5%-42.2%. Former Rep. Hilda Solis leads the June 2 top-two primary field with $740,000 raised and endorsements from Nancy Pelosi, Adam Schiff, and labor unions like SEIU California, far outpacing rivals Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz, while lone Republican Pedro Casas shows no fundraising. Likely top-two features two Democrats, cementing the hold; upset scenarios include a Casas primary advance via Democratic vote split or pre-November scandals derailing frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,297วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 93% in the open CA-38 House race due to the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting a D+12 partisan lean from 2024 presidential results where Kamala Harris won 54.5%-42.2%. Former Rep. Hilda Solis leads the June 2 top-two primary field with $740,000 raised and endorsements from Nancy Pelosi, Adam Schiff, and labor unions like SEIU California, far outpacing rivals Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz, while lone Republican Pedro Casas shows no fundraising. Likely top-two features two Democrats, cementing the hold; upset scenarios include a Casas primary advance via Democratic vote split or pre-November scandals derailing frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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