California's 38th Congressional District, with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Solid Democratic seat per race raters like Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at overwhelming odds in the November 3 general election. The open race—former Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to CA-41—features three Democrats (fundraising leader Hilda Solis with $590,000 cash on hand, Monica Sanchez, Erik Lutz) against one Republican, Pedro Casas, with no reported funds, in the June 2 top-two primary. Historical Democratic margins exceed 20 points, and no developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics. Realistic challenges include a surprise Republican primary advance amid Democratic vote-splitting, a frontrunner scandal, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$50,545 ปริมาณ
$50,545 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$50,545 ปริมาณ
$50,545 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$24,719 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$25,827 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th Congressional District, with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Solid Democratic seat per race raters like Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at overwhelming odds in the November 3 general election. The open race—former Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to CA-41—features three Democrats (fundraising leader Hilda Solis with $590,000 cash on hand, Monica Sanchez, Erik Lutz) against one Republican, Pedro Casas, with no reported funds, in the June 2 top-two primary. Historical Democratic margins exceed 20 points, and no developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics. Realistic challenges include a surprise Republican primary advance amid Democratic vote-splitting, a frontrunner scandal, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,545วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th Congressional District, with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Solid Democratic seat per race raters like Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at overwhelming odds in the November 3 general election. The open race—former Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to CA-41—features three Democrats (fundraising leader Hilda Solis with $590,000 cash on hand, Monica Sanchez, Erik Lutz) against one Republican, Pedro Casas, with no reported funds, in the June 2 top-two primary. Historical Democratic margins exceed 20 points, and no developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics. Realistic challenges include a surprise Republican primary advance amid Democratic vote-splitting, a frontrunner scandal, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,545วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th Congressional District, with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Solid Democratic seat per race raters like Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at overwhelming odds in the November 3 general election. The open race—former Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to CA-41—features three Democrats (fundraising leader Hilda Solis with $590,000 cash on hand, Monica Sanchez, Erik Lutz) against one Republican, Pedro Casas, with no reported funds, in the June 2 top-two primary. Historical Democratic margins exceed 20 points, and no developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics. Realistic challenges include a surprise Republican primary advance amid Democratic vote-splitting, a frontrunner scandal, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย