Texas' 38th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+12 partisan voter index, favors the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election, driving trader consensus to 80.5% for Republican Party victory. Incumbent Wesley Hunt vacated the seat for a U.S. Senate bid after winning 63% in 2024 against Democrat Melissa McDonough, who again secured the Democratic nomination on March 3 with 52% in a three-way primary. The Republican primary saw mortgage banker Jon Bonck, Trump-endorsed, lead at 48% among 10 candidates, advancing to the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos at 19%; strong GOP turnout underscores the district's reliability as a Republican stronghold in Houston suburbs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$12,838 ปริมาณ
$12,838 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
19%
$12,838 ปริมาณ
$12,838 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
19%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 38th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+12 partisan voter index, favors the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election, driving trader consensus to 80.5% for Republican Party victory. Incumbent Wesley Hunt vacated the seat for a U.S. Senate bid after winning 63% in 2024 against Democrat Melissa McDonough, who again secured the Democratic nomination on March 3 with 52% in a three-way primary. The Republican primary saw mortgage banker Jon Bonck, Trump-endorsed, lead at 48% among 10 candidates, advancing to the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos at 19%; strong GOP turnout underscores the district's reliability as a Republican stronghold in Houston suburbs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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