**Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at a commanding 91% implied probability to retain South Carolina's 6th congressional district House seat, anchored by veteran incumbent Rep. James Clyburn's March 12 announcement seeking an 18th term just weeks ago, which resolved retirement speculation and reinforced his dominance ahead of the June 9 primaries.** Clyburn faces only token Democratic primary challenger Frederick Goodwin, while no prominent Republican contenders have materialized since the March 30 filing deadline, amid a district historically yielding him landslide margins under boundaries untouched by stalled GOP redistricting proposals from February hearings. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects incumbency strength and base rates for long-serving representatives in safe seats. Late alterations remain possible via Clyburn health issues at age 85, a surprise primary upset, or national midterm wave dynamics shifting turnout in this Black-majority battleground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-06 House Election Winner
SC-06 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$477 ปริมาณ
91%
Republican Party
$150 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at a commanding 91% implied probability to retain South Carolina's 6th congressional district House seat, anchored by veteran incumbent Rep. James Clyburn's March 12 announcement seeking an 18th term just weeks ago, which resolved retirement speculation and reinforced his dominance ahead of the June 9 primaries.** Clyburn faces only token Democratic primary challenger Frederick Goodwin, while no prominent Republican contenders have materialized since the March 30 filing deadline, amid a district historically yielding him landslide margins under boundaries untouched by stalled GOP redistricting proposals from February hearings. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects incumbency strength and base rates for long-serving representatives in safe seats. Late alterations remain possible via Clyburn health issues at age 85, a surprise primary upset, or national midterm wave dynamics shifting turnout in this Black-majority battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$627วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at a commanding 91% implied probability to retain South Carolina's 6th congressional district House seat, anchored by veteran incumbent Rep. James Clyburn's March 12 announcement seeking an 18th term just weeks ago, which resolved retirement speculation and reinforced his dominance ahead of the June 9 primaries.** Clyburn faces only token Democratic primary challenger Frederick Goodwin, while no prominent Republican contenders have materialized since the March 30 filing deadline, amid a district historically yielding him landslide margins under boundaries untouched by stalled GOP redistricting proposals from February hearings. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects incumbency strength and base rates for long-serving representatives in safe seats. Late alterations remain possible via Clyburn health issues at age 85, a surprise primary upset, or national midterm wave dynamics shifting turnout in this Black-majority battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$627วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at a commanding 91% implied probability to retain South Carolina's 6th congressional district House seat, anchored by veteran incumbent Rep. James Clyburn's March 12 announcement seeking an 18th term just weeks ago, which resolved retirement speculation and reinforced his dominance ahead of the June 9 primaries.** Clyburn faces only token Democratic primary challenger Frederick Goodwin, while no prominent Republican contenders have materialized since the March 30 filing deadline, amid a district historically yielding him landslide margins under boundaries untouched by stalled GOP redistricting proposals from February hearings. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects incumbency strength and base rates for long-serving representatives in safe seats. Late alterations remain possible via Clyburn health issues at age 85, a surprise primary upset, or national midterm wave dynamics shifting turnout in this Black-majority battleground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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